Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 121-150 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
11 Jul 20258.37
9.99
19.37%
Buy
0.41
-
-
BCC NYSE · Boise Cascad Llc
19 Dec 202574.33
76.38
2.76%
Buy
0.21
-
-
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
7 Mar 202522.54
21.68
-3.80%
Buy
0.07
-
-
BDN NYSE · Brandywine Realty Trust
24 Apr 20263.06
3.04
-0.65%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
23 Jan 202611.74
21.20
80.58%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BDTX NASDAQ · Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc
16 May 20251.95
1.69
-13.33%
Buy
0.19
-
-
BDX NYSE · Becton Dickinson and Company
25 Jul 2025142.21
165.62
16.46%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BF-A NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202629.48
29.22
-0.87%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BF-B NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202628.90
28.73
-0.58%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
10 Jul 202673.31
74.54
1.68%
Buy
0.11
-
-
BGS NYSE · B&G Foods Inc
17 Oct 20254.28
3.53
-17.60%
Buy
0.55
-
-
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
23 May 20253.13
5.55
77.56%
Buy
0.12
-
-
BHFAP NASDAQ · Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202515.72
13.95
-11.26%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BIIB NASDAQ · Biogen Inc
28 Feb 2025140.50
202.95
44.45%
Buy
0.13
-
-
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202640.48
45.13
11.49%
Buy
0.03
-
-
BIO-B NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
20 Jun 2025250.08
309.37
23.71%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
24 Jul 202610.01
10.02
0.10%
Buy
1.17
-
-
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
17 Jul 202630.29
31.40
3.66%
Buy
0.18
-
-
BLCO NYSE · Bausch + Lomb Corp
4 Jul 202513.88
16.91
21.83%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BLIN NASDAQ · Bridgeline Digital Inc
6 Mar 20260.93
1.16
24.16%
Buy
0.08
-
-
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
17 Jul 202632.40
42.80
32.10%
Buy
0.13
-
-
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
8 May 20268.12
8.66
6.65%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BLND NYSE · Blend Labs Inc
29 May 20261.79
1.78
-0.56%
Buy
0.44
-
-
BMI NYSE · Badger Meter Inc
26 Jun 2026140.88
134.35
-4.64%
Buy
0.35
-
-
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
22 May 202612.53
14.18
13.17%
Buy
0.04
-
-
BOLD NASDAQ · Boundless Bio, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 20262.56
2.50
-2.34%
Buy
0.97
-
-
BON NASDAQ · Bon Natural Life Ltd
5 Jun 20261.25
1.10
-12.00%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
5 Sep 20253.04
4.03
32.57%
Buy
1.85
-
-
BOW NYSE · Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
1 May 202624.32
30.59
25.78%
Buy
0.29
-
-
BOX NYSE · Box Inc
8 May 202625.72
31.55
22.67%
Buy
0.36
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 9001-9030 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
5 Jan 2024
Entry
TARA NASDAQ · Protara Therapeutics Inc
2.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.23
5 Jan 2024
Entry
TOST NYSE · Toast Inc
17.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
5 Jan 2024
Entry
TRU NYSE · TransUnion
64.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
5 Jan 2024
Entry
UL NYSE · Unilever PLC ADR
50.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
5 Jan 2024
Exit
VERI NASDAQ · Veritone Inc
1.66
20% entry drawdown
-24.20%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 2.19
5 Jan 2024
Exit
VHC NASDAQ · VirnetX Holding Corp Common Stock
6.08
20% entry drawdown
-28.39%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 8.49
5 Jan 2024
Entry
VSH NYSE · Vishay Intertechnology Inc
21.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
5 Jan 2024
Entry
WRBY NYSE · Warby Parker Inc
13.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
29 Dec 2023
Entry
ACNT NASDAQ · Synalloy Corporation
9.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
29 Dec 2023
Entry
ADUR NASDAQ · Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. Common Stock
3.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55
29 Dec 2023
Entry
ALKS NASDAQ · Alkermes Plc
27.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
29 Dec 2023
Entry
ALNT NASDAQ · Allient Inc.
29.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.36
29 Dec 2023
Entry
AMPX NYSE · Amprius Technologies Inc.
5.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.68
29 Dec 2023
Entry
ARR NYSE · ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc
12.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
29 Dec 2023
Entry
ATLC NASDAQ · Atlanticus Holdings Corporation
38.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.94
29 Dec 2023
Exit
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
9.10
20% entry drawdown
-36.81%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 14.40
29 Dec 2023
Exit
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
64.00
Reversal Risk Warning
240.43%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 18.80
29 Dec 2023
Entry
BTCT NASDAQ · BTC Digital Ltd.
4.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.11
29 Dec 2023
Entry
BWIN NASDAQ · The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.
24.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
29 Dec 2023
Exit
CDIO NASDAQ · Cardio Diagnostics Holdings Inc
74.70
Reversal Risk Warning
565.06%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 11.23
29 Dec 2023
Entry
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
10.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
29 Dec 2023
Entry
CGEN NASDAQ · Compugen
1.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.54
29 Dec 2023
Entry
CMC NYSE · Commercial Metals Company
48.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
29 Dec 2023
Exit
CRD-B NYSE · Crawford & Company
12.19
Reversal Risk Warning
41.38%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 8.62
29 Dec 2023
Entry
CRDF NASDAQ · Cardiff Oncology Inc
1.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
29 Dec 2023
Entry
CSR NYSE · Centerspace
52.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
29 Dec 2023
Exit
DDI NASDAQ · Doubledown Interactive Co Ltd
7.35
20% entry drawdown
-20.55%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 9.25
29 Dec 2023
Entry
EDUC NASDAQ · Educational Development Corporation
1.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
29 Dec 2023
Entry
EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
10.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.62
29 Dec 2023
Entry
FKWL NASDAQ · Franklin Wireless Corp
3.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.32