Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 121-150 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AXR NYSE · AMREP Corporation
20 Jun 202521.50
25.20
17.21%
Buy
0.18
-
-
AXTA NYSE · Axalta Coating Systems Ltd
5 Jun 202632.18
32.51
1.03%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AYTU NASDAQ · Aytu BioScience Inc
16 May 20252.13
2.25
5.63%
Buy
0.38
-
-
AZTA NASDAQ · Azenta Inc
12 Jun 202622.59
25.36
12.26%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
6 Jun 20251.87
1.94
4.02%
Buy
0.30
-
-
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
3 Jul 202610.93
9.60
-12.17%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BBNX NASDAQ · Beta Bionics, Inc. Common Stock
5 Jun 202613.89
17.03
22.61%
Buy
0.22
-
-
BBY NYSE · Best Buy Co. Inc
20 Jun 202563.97
82.80
29.43%
Buy
0.20
-
-
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
11 Jul 20258.37
10.35
23.67%
Buy
0.41
-
-
BCC NYSE · Boise Cascad Llc
19 Dec 202574.33
76.06
2.33%
Buy
0.21
-
-
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
7 Mar 202522.54
21.38
-5.13%
Buy
0.07
-
-
BDN NYSE · Brandywine Realty Trust
24 Apr 20263.06
3.06
0.00%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
23 Jan 202611.74
21.42
82.45%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BDTX NASDAQ · Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc
16 May 20251.95
1.91
-2.05%
Buy
0.19
-
-
BDX NYSE · Becton Dickinson and Company
25 Jul 2025142.21
151.94
6.84%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
19 Jun 20261.37
1.17
-14.60%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BF-A NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202629.48
26.60
-9.76%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BF-B NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202628.90
26.17
-9.44%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
10 Jul 202673.31
73.31
New Entry week
Buy
0.11
-
-
BGS NYSE · B&G Foods Inc
17 Oct 20254.28
3.93
-8.26%
Buy
0.55
-
-
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
23 May 20253.13
5.63
80.12%
Buy
0.12
-
-
BHFAP NASDAQ · Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202515.72
14.77
-6.04%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BIIB NASDAQ · Biogen Inc
28 Feb 2025140.50
199.15
41.74%
Buy
0.13
-
-
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202640.48
41.36
2.17%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BIO-B NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
20 Jun 2025250.08
298.50
19.36%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BLCO NYSE · Bausch + Lomb Corp
4 Jul 202513.88
16.23
16.93%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BLIN NASDAQ · Bridgeline Digital Inc
6 Mar 20260.93
1.24
32.72%
Buy
0.08
-
-
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
8 May 20268.12
8.34
2.71%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BLND NYSE · Blend Labs Inc
29 May 20261.79
1.70
-5.03%
Buy
0.44
-
-
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
15 Mar 202410.60
10.60
0.00%
Buy
0.05
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2941-2970 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
16 Jan 2026
Entry
PRMB NYSE · Primo Brands Corporation
18.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
16 Jan 2026
Entry
QUIK NASDAQ · QuickLogic Corporation
8.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
16 Jan 2026
Entry
RAY NASDAQ · Raytech Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
3.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
16 Jan 2026
Exit
RTX NYSE · RTX Corporation
200.43
Reversal Risk Warning
150.24%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 80.09
16 Jan 2026
Exit
SARO NYSE · StandardAero, Inc.
32.48
Reversal Risk Warning
13.33%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 28.66
16 Jan 2026
Entry
SATL NASDAQ · Satellogic V Inc
3.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
16 Jan 2026
Exit
SBCF NASDAQ · Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida
33.41
Reversal Risk Warning
56.42%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 21.36
16 Jan 2026
Entry
SENS NASDAQ · Senseonics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
7.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
16 Jan 2026
Entry
SFD NASDAQ · Smithfield Foods, Inc. Common Stock
22.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
16 Jan 2026
Exit
SHOO NASDAQ · Steven Madden Ltd
45.11
Reversal Risk Warning
86.29%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 24.22
16 Jan 2026
Exit
SIDU NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
3.37
20% entry drawdown
-22.17%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 4.33
16 Jan 2026
Exit
SKYQ NASDAQ · Sky Quarry Inc
3.04
20% entry drawdown
-26.68%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 4.15
16 Jan 2026
Exit
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
5.04
20% entry drawdown
-22.46%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 6.50
16 Jan 2026
Entry
SSTI NASDAQ · Shotspotter Inc
7.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
16 Jan 2026
Exit
STAA NASDAQ · STAAR Surgical Company
20.97
20% entry drawdown
-23.07%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 27.26
16 Jan 2026
Entry
STKS NASDAQ · One Group Hospitality Inc
2.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
16 Jan 2026
Entry
STRO NASDAQ · Sutro Biopharma
13.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.22
16 Jan 2026
Exit
TTI NYSE · Tetra Technologies Inc
11.57
Reversal Risk Warning
158.84%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 4.47
16 Jan 2026
Entry
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
2.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
16 Jan 2026
Exit
TWO NYSE · Two Harbors Investments Corp
13.68
Reversal Risk Warning
40.73%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 9.72
16 Jan 2026
Entry
UCTT NASDAQ · Ultra Clean Holdings Inc
43.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.60
16 Jan 2026
Entry
UEIC NASDAQ · Universal Electronics Inc
3.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
16 Jan 2026
Entry
UMC NYSE · United Microelectronics
9.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.35
16 Jan 2026
Entry
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
58.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
16 Jan 2026
Entry
WFG NYSE · West Fraser Timber Co Ltd
69.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
16 Jan 2026
Exit
WLDN NASDAQ · Willdan Group Inc
133.78
Reversal Risk Warning
232.29%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 40.26
16 Jan 2026
Entry
ZBAO NASDAQ · Zhibao Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
0.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
16 Jan 2026
Entry
ZBIO NASDAQ · Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock
20.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ZNTL NASDAQ · Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Llc
2.96
20% entry drawdown
-20.86%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 3.74
9 Jan 2026
Entry
AAUC NYSE · Allied Gold Corporation
25.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.68