View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 241-270 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
CTKB NASDAQ · Cytek Biosciences Inc
27 Jun 20253.55
4.46
25.63%
Buy
0.28
-
-
CTNM NASDAQ · Contineum Therapeutics, Inc. Class A Common Stock
15 Aug 20257.38
14.06
90.51%
Buy
1.36
-
-
CTRM NASDAQ · Castor Maritime Inc
3 Oct 20252.14
1.87
-12.62%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CUB NASDAQ · Lionheart Holdings
23 May 202510.41
10.80
3.75%
Buy
3.47
-
-
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
17 Apr 202618.19
32.12
76.62%
Buy
0.68
-
-
CULP NASDAQ · Culp, Inc. Common Stock
8 May 20263.61
3.55
-1.66%
Buy
0.29
-
-
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
12 Jun 20263.97
3.34
-15.99%
Buy
1.10
-
-
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
17 Jul 20262.33
2.48
6.44%
Buy
0.17
-
-
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
13 Mar 20262.90
4.62
59.31%
Buy
0.95
-
-
CVLT NASDAQ · CommVault Systems Inc
24 Apr 202693.92
142.31
51.52%
Buy
0.14
-
-
CWAN NYSE · Clearwater Analytics Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202519.25
24.56
27.58%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CXM NYSE · Sprinklr Inc
29 May 20265.58
5.69
1.97%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CXT NYSE · Crane NXT Co
19 Jun 202646.93
52.86
12.64%
Buy
0.26
-
-
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
6 Jun 20257.00
15.37
119.57%
Buy
0.78
-
-
CYTK NASDAQ · Cytokinetics Inc
15 Aug 202538.67
80.74
108.79%
Buy
0.65
-
-
CZR NASDAQ · Caesars Entertainment Corporation
20 Feb 202621.23
29.94
41.03%
Buy
0.04
-
-
DAAQ NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.
20 Feb 202610.24
10.41
1.66%
Buy
0.27
-
-
DAIO NASDAQ · Data I/O Corporation
6 Jun 20252.76
3.12
13.04%
Buy
0.10
-
-
DBI NYSE · Designer Brands Inc
22 Aug 20253.46
5.46
57.60%
Buy
0.71
-
-
DBRG NYSE · Digitalbridge Group Inc
23 May 202511.15
15.90
42.66%
Buy
0.48
-
-
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
8 May 202628.90
29.19
1.00%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DCBO NASDAQ · Docebo Inc
1 May 202620.67
19.37
-6.29%
Buy
0.33
-
-
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
23 May 20254.28
5.48
28.04%
Buy
0.05
-
-
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
22 Aug 20252.10
2.57
22.38%
Buy
0.55
-
-
DEA NYSE · Eerly Govt Ppty Inc
27 Jun 202520.55
25.33
23.25%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DECK NYSE · Deckers Outdoor Corporation
17 Oct 202599.82
96.04
-3.79%
Buy
0.27
-
-
DEI NYSE · Douglas Emmett Inc
24 Apr 202610.70
12.28
14.77%
Buy
0.39
-
-
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
26 Jun 202617.20
15.92
-7.44%
Buy
0.77
-
-
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
17 Jul 202649.95
48.26
-3.38%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DHR NYSE · Danaher Corporation
26 Jun 2026196.19
191.50
-2.39%
Buy
0.16
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 7351-7380 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Sep 2024
Exit
RWT NYSE · Redwood Trust Inc
6.55
Reversal Risk Warning
31.42%
Entry 24 May 2024 4.98
13 Sep 2024
Entry
SENS NASDAQ · Senseonics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
8.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
13 Sep 2024
Exit
SMMT NASDAQ · Summit Therapeutics PLC
31.93
Reversal Risk Warning
313.60%
Entry 7 Jun 2024 7.72
13 Sep 2024
Entry
SMTC NASDAQ · Semtech Corporation
41.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
13 Sep 2024
Entry
SNYR NASDAQ · Synergy CHC Corp. Common Stock
2.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.50
13 Sep 2024
Entry
SPWH NASDAQ · Sportsmans
2.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
13 Sep 2024
Exit
STC NYSE · Stewart Information Services Corp
71.66
Reversal Risk Warning
83.46%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 39.06
13 Sep 2024
Entry
TH NASDAQ · Target Hospitality Corp
9.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
13 Sep 2024
Exit
TIL NASDAQ · Instil Bio Inc.
14.25
Price scale break
0.00%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 14.25
13 Sep 2024
Entry
TNON NASDAQ · Tenon Medical Inc
7.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.92
13 Sep 2024
Entry
TVTX NASDAQ · Travere Therapeutics Inc
13.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.31
13 Sep 2024
Entry
U NYSE · Unity Software Inc
19.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.93
13 Sep 2024
Exit
UDR NYSE · UDR Inc
43.60
Reversal Risk Warning
29.32%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 33.72
13 Sep 2024
Exit
VEL NYSE · Velocity Financial Llc
19.52
Reversal Risk Warning
60.53%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 12.16
13 Sep 2024
Exit
VICI NYSE · VICI Properties Inc
30.22
Reversal Risk Warning
16.11%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 26.03
13 Sep 2024
Entry
XPEV NYSE · Xpeng Inc
8.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
6 Sep 2024
Entry
AAME NASDAQ · Atlantic American Corporation
1.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
6 Sep 2024
Exit
ABUS NASDAQ · Arbutus Biopharma Corp
4.55
Reversal Risk Warning
119.81%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 2.07
6 Sep 2024
Exit
AIXC NASDAQ · AIxCrypto Holdings, Inc.
7.99
20% entry drawdown
-23.90%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 10.50
6 Sep 2024
Exit
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown
-25.57%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 3.05
6 Sep 2024
Exit
BKSY NYSE · Blacksky Technology Inc
6.21
20% entry drawdown
-40.73%
Entry 23 Aug 2024 10.48
6 Sep 2024
Exit
BTDR NASDAQ · Bitdeer Technologies Group Class A Ordinary Shares
5.45
20% entry drawdown
-27.72%
Entry 23 Aug 2024 7.54
6 Sep 2024
Exit
BVN NYSE · Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA ADR
11.34
20% entry drawdown
-20.28%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 14.22
6 Sep 2024
Exit
CCG NASDAQ · Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
21.02
20% entry drawdown
-32.56%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 31.17
6 Sep 2024
Entry
CNTA NASDAQ · Centessa Pharmaceuticals PLC ADR
14.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.49
6 Sep 2024
Exit
CRDO NASDAQ · Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
24.38
20% entry drawdown
-33.11%
Entry 23 Aug 2024 36.45
6 Sep 2024
Exit
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
2.74
20% entry drawdown
-21.49%
Entry 17 May 2024 3.49
6 Sep 2024
Exit
CYH NYSE · Community Health Systems Inc
5.70
Reversal Risk Warning
115.09%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 2.65
6 Sep 2024
Entry
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
8.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
6 Sep 2024
Exit
ENVX NASDAQ · Enovix Corp
6.96
20% entry drawdown
-20.82%
Entry 17 May 2024 8.79