🇺🇸 United States ETF Radar · NYSEARCA

HARD

SIMPLIFY EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS COMMODITIES STRATEGY NO K-1 ETF

Other · Unclassified · Unclassified

Fresh breakout
Recent price path HARD recent weekly close path 33 USD 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Return 4.2% latest completed week
4-Week Return 9.9% short momentum
Trend Gap 0.3% Trend negative
Fair Gap 21.8% vs fair value
Volume 0.8x 199.9K latest
Market Dynamics -0.95 negative and improving
Relative Strength -3.43 vs country ETF tape
Opportunity 0.6 composite radar score
Risk 12.0 -9.6% drawdown · 3.0% volatility
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, Fair Value

12 months
HARD weekly price action
Price Trend Line Fair Value
Market Dynamics

Pressure, strength, volume

12 months
HARD Market Dynamics and relative strength
Market Dynamics Relative Strength Volume
Signal View

What it shows

Crossed above Trend Line Market Dynamics improving

Balanced read: watch trend, volume, and four-week follow-through for the next clue.

Price has crossed back above the Trend Line.

HARD sits in Other, so read it as a United States exposure first and a single ETF second.

The latest week moved 4.2%; the four-week move is 9.9%, which helps separate one-week noise from actual follow-through.

Trend is negative, volume is running at 0.8x, and Market Dynamics is not showing a buy signal.

Opportunity Signals

What could be improving

  • Fresh breakout above the Trend Line
  • Price is above fair value with a positive trend setup
Risk Signals

What needs caution

  • Market Dynamics is still negative
Peers

Same category

Closest category peers ranked by the current radar score.

10 peers
1 HSBH · NYSEARCA HSBC HOLDINGS PLC ADRHEDGED 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 3.6% 4W 8.8% Vol 2.1x 3.6% 2 AMDW · CBOE ROUNDHILL AMD WEEKLYPAY ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Other Balanced read: watch trend, volume, and four-week follow-through for the next clue. Week 5.8% 4W -0.7% Vol 1.1x 5.8% 3 AAPW · CBOE ROUNDHILL AAPL WEEKLYPAY ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Other Balanced read: watch trend, volume, and four-week follow-through for the next clue. Week -0.6% 4W 21.4% Vol 0.9x -0.6% 4 IHE · NYSEARCA ISHARES TRUST U.S. PHARMACEUTICALS ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 1.4% 4W 3.3% Vol 2.2x 1.4% 5 VFLO · NASDAQ VICTORYSHARES FREE CASH FLOW ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 0.7% 4W 4.3% Vol 1.5x 0.7% 6 ASMH · NYSEARCA ASML HOLDING NV ADRHEDGED 🇺🇸 United States · Other Volume is expanding versus normal activity, which can mark institutional attention or stress. Week 1.2% 4W -2.0% Vol 2.1x 1.2% 7 DESK · NYSEARCA VANECK ETF TR OFFICE & COML REIT ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Other Volume is expanding versus normal activity, which can mark institutional attention or stress. Week -0.2% 4W 4.3% Vol 1.7x -0.2% 8 DVXF · NASDAQ WEBs Defined Volatility XLF ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Other Volume is expanding versus normal activity, which can mark institutional attention or stress. Week -0.1% 4W 9.3% Vol 2.8x -0.1% 9 SMRI · NASDAQ BUSHIDO CAPITAL US EQUITY ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 0.5% 4W 3.9% Vol 1.8x 0.5% 10 IWDL · NYSE UBS AG London Branch 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 0.0% 4W 3.9% Vol 0.6x 0.0%
Latest Event

Historical signal events

Recent Trend Line crossings and Market Dynamics buy signals from the weekly history.

22 Aug 2025 Crossed above Trend Line 30 USD · 5.1%
21 Nov 2025 Broke below Trend Line 29 USD · -2.9%
28 Nov 2025 Crossed above Trend Line 30 USD · 3.6%
12 Jun 2026 Broke below Trend Line 32 USD · -2.0%
24 Jul 2026 Crossed above Trend Line 33 USD · 4.2%
HARD

Recent weekly tape

Week Close Trend Line Fair Value Weekly Return Market Dynamics RS Volume
1 Aug 2025 27 USD 28 USD 24 USD % 0.12 -3.46 81.0K
8 Aug 2025 28 USD 28 USD 24 USD 1.2% -0.03 -4.73 68.9K
15 Aug 2025 28 USD 28 USD 24 USD 1.7% -0.08 -4.13 44.4K
22 Aug 2025 30 USD 28 USD 24 USD 5.1% -0.12 0.27 57.7K
29 Aug 2025 30 USD 28 USD 24 USD 1.7% 0.23 1.77 77.1K
5 Sep 2025 29 USD 28 USD 24 USD -2.4% 0.47 -1.14 59.3K
12 Sep 2025 30 USD 28 USD 25 USD 1.0% 0.64 -1.86 27.2K
19 Sep 2025 30 USD 28 USD 25 USD -0.3% 0.76 -3.51 245.9K
26 Sep 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD 2.2% 0.84 -1.25 177.7K
3 Oct 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD -0.9% 1.05 -3.29 372.3K
10 Oct 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD 1.4% 1.22 0.29 102.9K
17 Oct 2025 31 USD 29 USD 25 USD 1.6% 1.24 -0.08 90.4K
24 Oct 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD -4.0% 0.98 -6.02 112.1K
31 Oct 2025 29 USD 29 USD 25 USD -1.0% 0.56 -7.60 98.9K
7 Nov 2025 29 USD 29 USD 25 USD -1.0% 0.22 -7.14 93.2K
14 Nov 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD 1.6% -0.12 -5.94 84.1K
21 Nov 2025 29 USD 29 USD 25 USD -2.9% -0.42 -6.96 80.7K
28 Nov 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD 3.6% -0.59 -7.09 46.8K
5 Dec 2025 29 USD 29 USD 25 USD -1.4% -0.79 -8.71 64.6K
12 Dec 2025 29 USD 29 USD 25 USD -0.5% -0.93 -8.59 118.6K
19 Dec 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD 1.2% -0.80 -7.60 181.7K
26 Dec 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD 3.0% -0.64 -6.21 36.6K
2 Jan 2026 29 USD 29 USD 25 USD -3.1% -0.61 -8.14 45.5K
9 Jan 2026 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD 2.4% -0.50 -7.30 54.8K
16 Jan 2026 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD -1.4% -0.51 -8.12 71.9K
23 Jan 2026 31 USD 29 USD 25 USD 3.8% -0.39 -4.20 54.5K
30 Jan 2026 31 USD 30 USD 25 USD -0.2% 0.14 -4.68 176.0K
6 Feb 2026 31 USD 30 USD 25 USD 0.6% 0.58 -3.77 218.9K
13 Feb 2026 31 USD 30 USD 25 USD 0.0% 0.97 -2.37 102.6K
20 Feb 2026 32 USD 30 USD 25 USD 3.4% 1.21 -0.01 57.0K
27 Feb 2026 33 USD 30 USD 25 USD 1.7% 1.24 2.19 74.8K
6 Mar 2026 34 USD 30 USD 25 USD 5.8% 1.37 10.29 339.4K
13 Mar 2026 35 USD 30 USD 26 USD 1.8% 1.58 13.91 234.1K
20 Mar 2026 35 USD 31 USD 26 USD 0.6% 1.78 16.67 451.3K
27 Mar 2026 35 USD 31 USD 26 USD -0.3% 1.90 18.89 304.9K
3 Apr 2026 36 USD 31 USD 26 USD 2.3% 1.90 17.57 379.5K
10 Apr 2026 33 USD 31 USD 26 USD -8.3% 1.66 4.20 459.9K
17 Apr 2026 32 USD 31 USD 26 USD -2.6% 1.10 -2.53 95.2K
24 Apr 2026 34 USD 31 USD 26 USD 5.6% 0.77 2.53 343.9K
1 May 2026 36 USD 31 USD 26 USD 6.1% 0.47 7.66 244.0K
8 May 2026 34 USD 32 USD 26 USD -4.2% 0.24 0.89 175.6K
15 May 2026 36 USD 32 USD 26 USD 3.6% 0.34 4.22 134.2K
22 May 2026 34 USD 32 USD 26 USD -3.8% 0.23 -0.54 385.9K
29 May 2026 33 USD 32 USD 26 USD -5.0% -0.13 -6.76 229.9K
5 Jun 2026 32 USD 32 USD 26 USD -1.2% -0.37 -5.36 231.5K
12 Jun 2026 32 USD 32 USD 26 USD -2.0% -0.71 -7.57 164.8K
19 Jun 2026 31 USD 32 USD 26 USD -2.8% -0.90 -10.73 563.2K
26 Jun 2026 30 USD 32 USD 27 USD -3.6% -0.98 -11.64 280.0K
3 Jul 2026 30 USD 32 USD 27 USD -0.4% -1.04 -13.64 236.6K
10 Jul 2026 30 USD 32 USD 27 USD 1.5% -1.05 -13.23 203.6K
17 Jul 2026 31 USD 32 USD 27 USD 4.3% -1.11 -7.91 138.7K
24 Jul 2026 33 USD 32 USD 27 USD 4.2% -0.95 -3.43 199.9K