🇺🇸 United States ETF Radar · NYSEARCA

HARD

SIMPLIFY EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS COMMODITIES STRATEGY NO K-1 ETF

Other · Unclassified · Unclassified

Fresh breakdown
Recent price path HARD recent weekly close path 32 USD 12 Jun 2026
Weekly Return -2.0% latest completed week
4-Week Return -11.6% short momentum
Trend Gap -1.3% Trend positive
Fair Gap 20.7% vs fair value
Volume 0.6x 164.8K latest
Market Dynamics -0.63 negative
Relative Strength -6.79 vs country ETF tape
Opportunity -7.8 composite radar score
Risk 14.8 -12.3% drawdown · 3.8% volatility
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, Fair Value

12 months
HARD weekly price action
Price Trend Line Fair Value
Market Dynamics

Pressure, strength, volume

12 months
HARD Market Dynamics and relative strength
Market Dynamics Relative Strength Volume
Signal View

What it shows

Lost Trend Line

Balanced read: watch trend, volume, and four-week follow-through for the next clue.

Price has fallen below the Trend Line.

HARD sits in Other, so read it as a United States exposure first and a single ETF second.

The latest week moved -2.0%; the four-week move is -11.6%, which helps separate one-week noise from actual follow-through.

Trend is positive, volume is running at 0.6x, and Market Dynamics is not showing a buy signal.

Opportunity Signals

What could be improving

  • No high-conviction opportunity signal yet.
Risk Signals

What needs caution

  • Sharp fall below the Trend Line
  • Market Dynamics is still negative
Peers

Same category

Closest category peers ranked by the current radar score.

10 peers
1 STHH · NYSE STMICROELECTRONICS NV ADRHEDGED(TM) 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 8.4% 4W 26.0% Vol 2.0x 8.4% 2 STHH · NYSEARCA STMICROELECTRONICS NV ADRHEDGED 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 8.4% 4W 26.0% Vol 2.0x 8.4% 3 POW · NYSEARCA VISTASHARES ELECTRIFICATION SUPERCYCLE ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 190.7% 4W 174.4% Vol 6.7x 190.7% 4 ARMW · CBOE ROUNDHILL ARM WEEKLYPAY ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 12.7% 4W 99.4% Vol 2.0x 12.7% 5 ASMH · NYSE ASML HOLDING NV ADRHEDGED(TM) 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 12.4% 4W 23.9% Vol 1.2x 12.4% 6 ASMH · NYSEARCA ASML HOLDING NV ADRHEDGED 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 12.4% 4W 23.9% Vol 1.2x 12.4% 7 AMDW · CBOE ROUNDHILL AMD WEEKLYPAY ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 11.2% 4W 24.0% Vol 1.2x 11.2% 8 SPRX · NASDAQ SPEAR ALPHA ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 7.5% 4W 14.9% Vol 2.2x 7.5% 9 TRFK · NYSE PACER DATA AND DIGITAL REVOLUTION ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 5.2% 4W 12.1% Vol 1.6x 5.2% 10 TRFK · NYSEARCA PACER FDS TR DATA AND DIGITAL REVOLUTION ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Other Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 5.2% 4W 12.1% Vol 1.6x 5.2%
Latest Event

Historical signal events

Recent Trend Line crossings and Market Dynamics buy signals from the weekly history.

27 Jun 2025 Broke below Trend Line 28 USD · -2.5%
11 Jul 2025 Crossed above Trend Line 29 USD · 4.0%
1 Aug 2025 Broke below Trend Line 27 USD · -5.2%
22 Aug 2025 Crossed above Trend Line 30 USD · 5.1%
21 Nov 2025 Broke below Trend Line 29 USD · -2.9%
28 Nov 2025 Crossed above Trend Line 30 USD · 3.6%
12 Jun 2026 Broke below Trend Line 32 USD · -2.0%
HARD

Recent weekly tape

Week Close Trend Line Fair Value Weekly Return Market Dynamics RS Volume
20 Jun 2025 28 USD 28 USD 24 USD % -0.68 5.13 138.3K
27 Jun 2025 28 USD 28 USD 24 USD -2.5% -0.63 -1.04 95.3K
3 Jul 2025 28 USD 28 USD 24 USD 0.5% -0.72 -2.26 65.8K
11 Jul 2025 29 USD 28 USD 24 USD 4.0% -0.51 1.71 160.1K
18 Jul 2025 29 USD 28 USD 24 USD -1.1% -0.39 -0.20 75.9K
25 Jul 2025 29 USD 28 USD 24 USD 1.3% 0.03 -0.55 255.7K
1 Aug 2025 27 USD 28 USD 24 USD -5.2% 0.12 -3.46 81.0K
8 Aug 2025 28 USD 28 USD 24 USD 1.2% -0.03 -4.73 68.9K
15 Aug 2025 28 USD 28 USD 24 USD 1.7% -0.08 -4.13 44.4K
22 Aug 2025 30 USD 28 USD 24 USD 5.1% -0.12 0.27 57.7K
29 Aug 2025 30 USD 28 USD 24 USD 1.7% 0.23 1.77 77.1K
5 Sep 2025 29 USD 28 USD 25 USD -2.4% 0.47 -1.15 59.3K
12 Sep 2025 30 USD 28 USD 25 USD 1.0% 0.64 -1.86 27.2K
19 Sep 2025 30 USD 28 USD 25 USD -0.3% 0.76 -3.51 245.9K
26 Sep 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD 2.2% 0.84 -1.25 177.7K
3 Oct 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD -0.9% 1.04 -3.29 372.3K
10 Oct 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD 1.4% 1.21 0.29 102.9K
17 Oct 2025 31 USD 29 USD 25 USD 1.6% 1.24 -0.08 90.4K
24 Oct 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD -4.0% 0.98 -6.02 112.1K
31 Oct 2025 29 USD 29 USD 25 USD -1.0% 0.57 -7.60 98.9K
7 Nov 2025 29 USD 29 USD 25 USD -1.0% 0.22 -7.14 93.2K
14 Nov 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD 1.6% -0.12 -5.94 84.1K
21 Nov 2025 29 USD 29 USD 25 USD -2.9% -0.42 -6.96 80.7K
28 Nov 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD 3.6% -0.58 -7.09 46.8K
5 Dec 2025 29 USD 29 USD 25 USD -1.4% -0.78 -8.71 64.6K
12 Dec 2025 29 USD 29 USD 25 USD -0.5% -0.92 -8.59 118.6K
19 Dec 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD 1.2% -0.80 -7.60 181.7K
26 Dec 2025 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD 3.0% -0.64 -6.21 36.6K
2 Jan 2026 29 USD 29 USD 25 USD -3.1% -0.61 -8.14 45.5K
9 Jan 2026 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD 2.4% -0.50 -7.30 54.8K
16 Jan 2026 30 USD 29 USD 25 USD -1.4% -0.51 -8.12 71.9K
23 Jan 2026 31 USD 29 USD 25 USD 3.8% -0.39 -4.20 54.5K
30 Jan 2026 31 USD 30 USD 25 USD -0.2% 0.13 -4.68 176.0K
6 Feb 2026 31 USD 30 USD 25 USD 0.6% 0.57 -3.77 218.9K
13 Feb 2026 31 USD 30 USD 25 USD 0.0% 0.96 -2.37 102.6K
20 Feb 2026 32 USD 30 USD 25 USD 3.4% 1.20 -0.01 57.0K
27 Feb 2026 33 USD 30 USD 25 USD 1.7% 1.24 2.19 74.8K
6 Mar 2026 34 USD 30 USD 25 USD 5.8% 1.37 10.29 339.4K
13 Mar 2026 35 USD 30 USD 26 USD 1.8% 1.60 13.91 234.1K
20 Mar 2026 35 USD 31 USD 26 USD 0.6% 1.80 16.67 451.3K
27 Mar 2026 35 USD 31 USD 26 USD -0.3% 1.91 18.89 304.9K
2 Apr 2026 36 USD 31 USD 26 USD 2.3% 1.89 17.57 379.5K
10 Apr 2026 33 USD 31 USD 26 USD -8.3% 1.64 4.20 459.9K
17 Apr 2026 32 USD 31 USD 26 USD -2.6% 1.09 -2.53 95.2K
24 Apr 2026 34 USD 31 USD 26 USD 6.6% 0.78 3.53 343.9K
1 May 2026 36 USD 32 USD 26 USD 6.1% 0.51 8.69 244.0K
8 May 2026 35 USD 32 USD 26 USD -4.2% 0.32 1.84 175.6K
15 May 2026 36 USD 32 USD 26 USD 3.6% 0.46 5.18 134.2K
22 May 2026 35 USD 32 USD 26 USD -3.8% 0.35 0.36 385.9K
29 May 2026 33 USD 32 USD 26 USD -5.0% -0.03 -5.94 229.9K
5 Jun 2026 33 USD 32 USD 26 USD -1.2% -0.28 -4.54 231.5K
12 Jun 2026 32 USD 32 USD 26 USD -2.0% -0.63 -6.79 164.8K