Events

Predictions

Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.

Read Relevant event markets with active probability movement. United Kingdom · 3 radar items · updated 8 Jun, 21:14

Watch

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket · Politics & Policy

80.0% probability

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 80.0%. 24h move -3.5 pts. 7d move -6.5 pts. Data quality 29/100.

24h -3.5 pts

7d -6.5 pts

Volume 99

Quality 29/100

Insight Market

Probability Fade

Will Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket · Politics & Policy

69.0% probability

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 69.0%. 24h move -8.0 pts. 7d move -8.0 pts. Data quality 26/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

24h -8.0 pts

7d -8.0 pts

Volume 94

Quality 26/100

Insight Market

Watch

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Polymarket · Politics & Policy

6.2% probability

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 6.2%. 24h move -1.9 pts. 7d move +4.4 pts. Data quality 50/100.

24h -1.9 pts

7d +4.4 pts

Volume 97K

Quality 50/100

Insight Market