Economy expectation is rising at 34.0%. 24h move +6.8 pts. 7d move -5.0 pts. Data quality 36/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Events
Predictions
Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.
34.0%
probability
24h
+6.8 pts
7d
-5.0 pts
Volume
924
Quality
36/100
Probability Fade
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by 5–10%?
Polymarket · Politics & Policy
3.0%
probability
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 3.0%. 24h move -0.7 pts. 7d move -10.6 pts. Data quality 39/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
24h
-0.7 pts
7d
-10.6 pts
Volume
968
Quality
39/100
Probability Fade
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
Polymarket · Politics & Policy
40.5%
probability
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 40.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move -26.5 pts. Data quality 43/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
24h
+0.0 pts
7d
-26.5 pts
Volume
9K
Quality
43/100
Watch
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by 10–15%?
Polymarket · Politics & Policy
11.5%
probability
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 11.5%. 24h move -2.0 pts. 7d move +6.0 pts. Data quality 38/100.
24h
-2.0 pts
7d
+6.0 pts
Volume
878
Quality
38/100