Ticker Options Intelligence

FTNT options intelligence

Fortinet Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 49 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 11:13 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

FTNT currently carries bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 5.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.06.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 5.8%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.06

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.54

Call-side skew

Trend fit 87

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +6.3%

RS 54.7

Expected move 5.8%
Put-call volume 0.54
Volume / OI 0.06
Reference IV 0.52
Max pain 152.50
Underlying 161.95
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 1222

Research Brief

FTNT has a bullish chain read with 49/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 152.55–171.35; The largest call open-interest concentration is 160.00; the largest put concentration is 130.00. The most active strike by current volume is 165.00.

Priced range152.55–171.35
Call concentration160.00
Put concentration130.00
Max pain reference152.50
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 152.55 to 171.35. Max pain at 152.50 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
152.55161.95 ± 9.40171.35
Confirmation level

A close beyond 171.35 or below 152.55 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 49/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 28/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure28 × 42%
+11.7

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.1

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement87 × 26%
+22.7

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility59 × 10%
+5.9

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score49.4Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 160.00; the largest put concentration is 130.00. The most active strike by current volume is 165.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
319
130.00-19.7%
3
98
140.00-13.6%
19
97
145.00-10.5%
4
206
147.00-9.2%
2
76
148.00-8.6%
11
87
150.00-7.4%
10
63
152.50-5.8%
354
36
155.00-4.3%
677
22
157.50-2.7%
341
60
160.00-1.2%
810
2
162.500.3%
150
277
165.001.9%
542
21
167.503.4%
153
0
170.005.0%
303
1
175.008.1%
223
0
190.0017.3%
297
0
230.0042.0%
152
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.91× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.52 7 Aug 7d
0.51 14 Aug 14d
0.50 21 Aug 21d
0.53 28 Aug 28d
0.52 4 Sep 35d
0.51 11 Sep 42d
0.51 18 Sep 49d
0.51 16 Oct 77d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

130
132
134
136
137
139
141
143
145
147
148
150
155
160
165
170
175
178
183
188
193
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
1222 / 1222
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

81/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $6.8M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 46-90 days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+28
1W price+6.3%
Call premium72%
Put premium28%
Notional split C 72% / P 28% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.06 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 87/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 5 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 46-90 days · OTM
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 1064 contracts traded, $769320 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$769320
Calls · 46-90 days · ATM calls cluster with 515 contracts traded, $679252 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$679252
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 165 contracts traded, $527652 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$527652
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 320 contracts traded, $515120 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$515120
Calls · 0-7 days · ATM calls cluster with 1265 contracts traded, $491825 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$491825

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close161.95
1W+6.3%
RS54.7
Fair value+92.6%
Options pressure28
Speculation41
Volatility59
Trend fit87

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 5.8% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.52 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.54 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.06 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:03 Mixed
Pressure 2
Move 12.7%
30 Jul 10:02 Mixed
Pressure 1
Move 13.9%
31 Jul 12:16 Bullish
Pressure 28
Move 3.9%
2 Aug 10:13 Bullish
Pressure 28
Move 5.8%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 5
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike90.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike95.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike100.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 10
Puts · V 0 · OI 5
Strike105.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 23
Puts · V 0 · OI 14
Strike107.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts158
Avg IV0.52
Put-call0.53
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts158
Avg IV0.51
Put-call0.59
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts102
Avg IV0.50
Put-call0.63
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts64
Avg IV0.53
Put-call0.76
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts64
Avg IV0.52
Put-call0.63

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.50
Put IV0.52
Skew0.02
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.50
Put IV0.54
Skew0.04
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.49
Put IV0.52
Skew0.03
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.52
Put IV0.53
Skew0.01
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.49
Put IV0.53
Skew0.04

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractFTNT260807C00165000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike165.00
Volume905
OI542
IV0.52
ContractFTNT260807C00170000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike170.00
Volume878
OI303
IV0.50
ContractFTNT260807P00155000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike155.00
Volume517
OI36
IV0.52
ContractFTNT260918C00175000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike175.00
Volume508
OI664
IV0.50
ContractFTNT260918C00160000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike160.00
Volume292
OI1682
IV0.50
ContractFTNT260807C00160000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike160.00
Volume260
OI810
IV0.49
ContractFTNT261016P00160000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike160.00
Volume253
OI23
IV0.50
ContractFTNT260821C00160000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike160.00
Volume230
OI1019
IV0.48