Ticker Options Intelligence

VST options intelligence

Vistra Corp. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 41 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 30 Jul 2026 03:43 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

VST currently carries mixed options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 12.1%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.05.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 12.1%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.05

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.29

Put-side skew

Trend fit 70

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +5.1%

RS -12.1

Expected move 12.1%
Put-call volume 1.29
Volume / OI 0.05
Reference IV 0.77
Max pain 160.00
Underlying 163.38
Nearest expiry 31 Jul 2026
Contracts 1464

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

86/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $9.3M of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · otm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-11
1W price+5.1%
Call premium38%
Put premium62%
Notional split C 38% / P 62% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.05 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 70/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 6 Aug Matched earnings event is 7 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · OTM
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 1728 contracts traded, $1.8M estimated gross traded notional, and 20% of visible notional.
$1.8M
Puts · 0-7 days · OTM puts cluster with 3078 contracts traded, $1.8M estimated gross traded notional, and 19% of visible notional.
$1.8M
Puts · 22-45 days · OTM puts cluster with 6608 contracts traded, $1.1M estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$1.1M
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 241 contracts traded, $740705 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$740705
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 653 contracts traded, $648100 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$648100

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

33

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Volume rank0th
Volume/OI rank0th
IV rank100th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close163.38
1W+5.1%
RS-12.1
Fair value+34.8%
Options pressure-11
Speculation41
Volatility94
Trend fit70

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 12.1% elevated
30d avg 9.2% · 1 read 100th
90d avg 9.2% · 1 read 100th
180d avg 9.2% · 1 read 100th
IV 0.77 elevated
30d avg 0.75 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.75 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.75 · 1 read 100th
Put-call 1.29 elevated
30d avg 0.29 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.29 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.29 · 1 read 100th
Volume/OI 0.05 muted
30d avg 0.14 · 1 read 0th
90d avg 0.14 · 1 read 0th
180d avg 0.14 · 1 read 0th

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:07 Bullish
Pressure 56
Move 9.2%
30 Jul 02:43 Mixed
Pressure -11
Move 12.1%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 7
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 49
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike90.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 104
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike95.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 102
Strike100.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 143
Puts · V 0 · OI 7
Strike105.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 17
Puts · V 0 · OI 24

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Contracts140
Avg IV0.77
Put-call1.72
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts114
Avg IV0.72
Put-call0.61
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts80
Avg IV0.65
Put-call0.08
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts106
Avg IV0.59
Put-call0.36
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts62
Avg IV0.58
Put-call40.80

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
31 Jul 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.12
Put IV0.70
Skew-0.42
7 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.81
Put IV0.74
Skew-0.07
14 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.74
Put IV0.64
Skew-0.10
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.59
Put IV0.62
Skew0.03
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.56
Put IV0.59
Skew0.03

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractVST260828P00115000
SidePut
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Strike115.00
Volume5035
OI-
IV0.28
ContractVST260821C00165000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike165.00
Volume2612
OI13108
IV0.59
ContractVST270115P00125000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike125.00
Volume757
OI1456
IV0.55
ContractVST260731P00149000
SidePut
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike149.00
Volume677
OI75
IV0.76
ContractVST260814C00170000
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike170.00
Volume650
OI140
IV0.63
ContractVST260821P00090000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike90.00
Volume600
OI45
IV0.64
ContractVST270617P00095000
SidePut
Expiry17 Jun 2027
Strike95.00
Volume585
OI17
IV0.55
ContractVST260821C00180000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike180.00
Volume538
OI11783
IV0.60