Ticker Options Intelligence

HTHT options intelligence

Huazhu Group Ltd options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 49 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 05:19 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

HTHT currently carries bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 9.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 9.8%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +5.5%

RS -11.2

Expected move 9.8%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.33
Max pain 45.00
Underlying 42.69
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 112

Research Brief

HTHT has a bullish chain read with 49/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 38.49–46.89; The largest call open-interest concentration is 45.00; the largest put concentration is 45.00. The most active strike by current volume is 45.00.

Priced range38.49–46.89
Call concentration45.00
Put concentration45.00
Max pain reference45.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 38.49 to 46.89. Max pain at 45.00 sits inside that range, 5.4% above spot.

Spot Max pain
38.4942.69 ± 4.2046.89
Confirmation level

A close beyond 46.89 or below 38.49 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 49/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation3 × 22%
+0.7

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility62 × 10%
+6.2

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score48.9Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 45.00; the largest put concentration is 45.00. The most active strike by current volume is 45.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
22.50-47.3%
0
0
25.00-41.4%
0
0
30.00-29.7%
0
17
35.00-18.0%
0
2
40.00-6.3%
6
18
45.005.4%
26
2
50.0017.1%
9
0
55.0028.8%
0
0
60.0040.5%
0
0
65.0052.3%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.81× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.33 21 Aug 21d
0.36 18 Sep 49d
0.42 18 Dec 140d
0.42 15 Jan 168d
0.41 19 Mar 231d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

35
40
45
50
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
112 / 112
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

86/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $725 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price+5.5%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 19 Aug Matched earnings event is 17 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · OTM
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 10 contracts traded, $725 estimated gross traded notional, and 100% of visible notional.
$725

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close42.69
1W+5.5%
RS-11.2
Fair value+18.1%
Options pressure100
Speculation3
Volatility62
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 9.8% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.33 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:23 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 8.9%
30 Jul 10:20 Bearish
Pressure -70
Move 8.8%
31 Jul 10:10 Mixed
Pressure 5
Move 9.1%
2 Aug 04:19 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 9.8%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike22.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 17
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 6
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike45.00
Calls · V 10 · OI 26
Puts · V 0 · OI 18
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 9
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.33
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts26
Avg IV0.36
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts28
Avg IV0.42
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts20
Avg IV0.42
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts18
Avg IV0.41
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.38
Put IV0.13
Skew-0.24
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.43
Put IV0.55
Skew0.12
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.40
Put IV0.51
Skew0.12
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.40
Put IV0.49
Skew0.10
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.41
Put IV0.48
Skew0.08

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractHTHT260821C00045000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike45.00
Volume10
OI26
IV0.38
ContractHTHT261218C00060000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike60.00
Volume-
OI643
IV0.36
ContractHTHT261218C00070000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI581
IV0.29
ContractHTHT261218C00050000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike50.00
Volume-
OI235
IV0.40
ContractHTHT261218P00045000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI200
IV0.43
ContractHTHT261218P00055000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike55.00
Volume-
OI164
IV0.47
ContractHTHT261218C00040000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike40.00
Volume-
OI161
IV0.41
ContractHTHT261218P00065000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike65.00
Volume-
OI146
IV0.59