HTHT NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Huazhu Group Ltd · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Latest close 42.69 USD
5.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 52.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.5%, after a 1.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 17d.

Setup score 36 out of 100
Latest Close 42.69 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 5.5% latest completed week
4W Return 1.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -9.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 67.3% 35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 52.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.5%, after a 1.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1312-week average 0.37

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.13Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.3% over four weeks, -9.3% over 12 weeks, and 43.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.5%
4W1.3%
12W-9.3%
26W-7.7%
52W43.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-5.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change25.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength99/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Value96/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum76/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Growth79/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework93/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
2.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
4.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
24.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
40.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
29.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
33.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
15.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
51.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
9.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
5.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
8.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

HTHT shows bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 9.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction49/100
Expected move9.8%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation3
Volatility62
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.

7 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings17dNext report is scheduled for 19 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.3%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-7.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+5.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202642.69 USD5.5%47.18 USD36.16 USD-1.43-11.197.8MOff
24 Jul 202640.47 USD-3.0%47.31 USD36.14 USD-1.47-15.169.3MOff
17 Jul 202641.73 USD1.5%47.54 USD36.15 USD-1.45-13.846.3MOff
10 Jul 202641.11 USD-2.4%47.74 USD36.12 USD-1.41-18.576.6MOff
3 Jul 202642.14 USD-0.5%47.93 USD36.11 USD-1.36-15.037.6MOff
26 Jun 202642.37 USD-0.3%48.08 USD36.06 USD-1.24-13.7811.2MOff
19 Jun 202642.51 USD-4.8%48.16 USD36.00 USD-1.20-17.3810.4MOff
12 Jun 202644.66 USD-0.8%48.17 USD35.95 USD-1.18-10.969.0MOff
5 Jun 202645.00 USD0.2%48.10 USD35.90 USD-1.11-8.1818.7MOff
29 May 202644.89 USD0.2%47.94 USD35.86 USD-1.17-12.5110.8MOff
22 May 202644.79 USD-2.7%47.69 USD35.80 USD-1.13-10.299.4MOff
15 May 202646.05 USD-2.2%47.45 USD35.73 USD-0.96-6.7911.8MOn
8 May 202647.08 USD-5.0%47.14 USD35.67 USD-0.57-5.128.2MOn
1 May 202649.58 USD-1.6%46.78 USD35.60 USD-0.385.198.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.