BURL NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Burlington Stores Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

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Latest close 368.5 USD
5.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.3%, after a 17.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 59/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 26d.

Setup score 72 out of 100
Latest Close 368.5 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 5.3% latest completed week
4W Return 17.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 21.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 98.1% 51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 51-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 15 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 5.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 17.7%. Indicator stack 99/66 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 59/100 conviction; expected move 6.5%. News sentiment 57/100 57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 26d Next report is scheduled for 27 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.3%, after a 17.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7912-week average 0.75

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.79Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1515 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 15 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 17.7% over four weeks, 21.0% over 12 weeks, and 34.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 51 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.3%
4W17.7%
12W21.0%
26W24.5%
52W34.9%
Active trend streak51 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change160.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.74Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change489.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength44/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Value12/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Quality91/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Momentum72/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Growth74/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework17/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
35.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
20.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
12.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
44.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
7.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
28.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
9.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
10.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
18.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
54.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

BURL shows bearish options pressure with a 59/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 9.17, expected move of 6.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction59/100
Expected move6.5%
Put/call volume9.17
Pressure-92
Speculation43
Volatility71
Trend agreement13
Open options detail
Insider activity4 / 16

4 acquisitions and 16 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

21 positive · 33 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings26dNext report is scheduled for 27 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.5%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-4.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+5.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape70/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 70/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis54/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 8/12.

Activity pressure 0.79; 15 reversal markers Factors54/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 29 SVQF17/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 844.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options24/100

BURL shows bearish options pressure with a 59/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 9.17, expected move of 6.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 6.5% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (BURL) discloses 6.22M Burlington Stores shares in 13G/A Insiders4 / 16

4 acquisitions and 16 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings26d

Next report is scheduled for 27 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026368.5 USD5.3%319.7 USD249.0 USD0.1912.743.2MOn
24 Jul 2026350.0 USD1.3%317.4 USD247.7 USD-0.328.483.4MOn
17 Jul 2026345.3 USD5.4%315.4 USD246.6 USD-0.516.553.1MOn
10 Jul 2026327.7 USD4.6%313.2 USD245.5 USD-0.50-0.272.8MOn
3 Jul 2026313.2 USD-2.4%311.1 USD244.5 USD-0.32-3.272.5MOn
26 Jun 2026320.8 USD-4.8%309.7 USD243.5 USD-0.161.313.7MOn
19 Jun 2026336.9 USD-0.4%307.4 USD242.4 USD-0.044.172.7MOn
12 Jun 2026338.4 USD6.7%306.1 USD241.3 USD-0.065.933.7MOn
5 Jun 2026317.1 USD-2.1%304.1 USD240.1 USD-0.340.105.3MOn
29 May 2026323.8 USD-0.2%302.9 USD239.0 USD-0.48-0.257.6MOn
22 May 2026324.5 USD10.5%301.3 USD237.9 USD-0.491.575.1MOn
15 May 2026293.6 USD-3.6%299.4 USD236.8 USD-0.30-7.194.2MOn
8 May 2026304.5 USD-4.2%298.8 USD236.0 USD0.27-3.802.7MOn
1 May 2026318.0 USD-4.2%297.1 USD235.2 USD0.782.752.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.