ROST NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ross Stores Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

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Latest close 251.1 USD
5.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.1%, after a 17.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 40/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 18d.

Setup score 74 out of 100
Latest Close 251.1 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 5.1% latest completed week
4W Return 17.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 11.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 96.2% 50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 50-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.92% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 12 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 5.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 17.6%. Indicator stack 98/38 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 60.92% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 40/100 conviction; expected move 3.0%. News sentiment 58/100 46 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 18d Next report is scheduled for 20 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.1%, after a 17.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8312-week average 0.93

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.83Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1212 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 12 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 17.6% over four weeks, 11.4% over 12 weeks, and 84.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 50 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.1%
4W17.6%
12W11.4%
26W33.6%
52W84.9%
Active trend streak50 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.60Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-10.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership20.31Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1426.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength52/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Value8/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum90/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Growth93/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework40/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
33.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
20.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
28.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
12.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
18.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
32.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
11.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
11.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
34.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

ROST shows mixed options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.21, expected move of 3.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction40/100
Expected move3.0%
Put/call volume1.21
Pressure-12
Speculation41
Volatility31
Trend agreement89
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 10

10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.

20 positive · 24 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings18dNext report is scheduled for 20 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.4%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-8.4%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+5.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split37/15Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape72/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 72/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis70/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.83; 12 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.92%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.92% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors60/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 26 SVQF40/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 437.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options58/100

ROST shows mixed options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.21, expected move of 3.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 3.0% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.

Ross Stores (ROST) Stock Looks Above Fair Value Following New Store Expansion Insiders10 / 10

10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings18d

Next report is scheduled for 20 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow2 items

2 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026251.1 USD5.1%216.3 USD154.4 USD-0.6020.3112.6MOn
24 Jul 2026238.9 USD2.3%214.0 USD153.5 USD-0.9415.989.6MOn
17 Jul 2026233.5 USD4.7%212.0 USD152.7 USD-0.9812.3010.4MOn
10 Jul 2026222.9 USD4.4%210.3 USD151.9 USD-0.883.4513.8MOn
3 Jul 2026213.4 USD0.1%208.9 USD151.2 USD-0.541.3310.4MOn
26 Jun 2026213.3 USD-8.4%207.7 USD150.5 USD-0.242.5527.3MOn
19 Jun 2026232.8 USD-3.1%206.4 USD149.8 USD0.087.4010.8MOn
12 Jun 2026240.1 USD4.4%204.5 USD149.0 USD0.3714.2914.7MOn
5 Jun 2026229.9 USD-0.6%201.8 USD148.1 USD0.2212.5915.5MOn
29 May 2026231.3 USD-1.3%199.4 USD147.3 USD0.658.5620.9MOn
22 May 2026234.4 USD10.4%197.0 USD146.4 USD0.9413.5318.3MOn
15 May 2026212.3 USD-5.8%194.4 USD145.6 USD1.084.5316.8MOn
8 May 2026225.4 USD-1.3%192.5 USD144.9 USD1.4910.6512.9MOn
1 May 2026228.4 USD1.1%189.8 USD144.1 USD1.4218.538.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.