Ticker Options Intelligence

ROST options intelligence

Ross Stores Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 40 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 19:00 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

ROST currently carries mixed options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 3.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 3.0%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.03

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.21

Balanced tape

Trend fit 89

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +5.1%

RS 20.3

Expected move 3.0%
Put-call volume 1.21
Volume / OI 0.03
Reference IV 0.27
Max pain 237.50
Underlying 251.07
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 1210

Research Brief

ROST has a mixed chain read with 40/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 243.52–258.62; The largest call open-interest concentration is 245.00; the largest put concentration is 195.00. The most active strike by current volume is 260.00.

Priced range243.52–258.62
Call concentration245.00
Put concentration195.00
Max pain reference237.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 243.52 to 258.62. Max pain at 237.50 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
243.52251.07 ± 7.55258.62
Confirmation level

A close beyond 258.62 or below 243.52 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 40/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 12/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure12 × 42%
+4.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+8.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement89 × 26%
+23.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility31 × 10%
+3.1

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score40.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 245.00; the largest put concentration is 195.00. The most active strike by current volume is 260.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
312
190.00-24.3%
0
2626
195.00-22.3%
0
4
215.00-14.4%
13
44
220.00-12.4%
31
49
222.50-11.4%
0
71
225.00-10.4%
16
16
230.00-8.4%
12
2
235.00-6.4%
58
61
237.50-5.4%
1
7
240.00-4.4%
186
17
245.00-2.4%
238
3
247.50-1.4%
188
98
250.00-0.4%
24
1
252.500.6%
7
1
255.001.6%
4
0
257.502.6%
89
1
260.003.6%
12
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.81× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.27 7 Aug 7d
0.26 14 Aug 14d
0.38 21 Aug 21d
0.37 28 Aug 28d
0.36 4 Sep 35d
0.35 11 Sep 42d
0.35 18 Sep 49d
0.34 20 Nov 112d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

205
213
215
220
225
228
233
238
240
245
248
253
258
260
265
270
273
278
285
290
300
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
1210 / 1210
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

67/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $651618 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 46-90 days · itm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-12
1W price+5.1%
Call premium47%
Put premium53%
Notional split C 47% / P 53% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.03 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 89/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 20 Aug Matched earnings event is 18 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Puts · 46-90 days · ITM
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 107 contracts traded, $185110 estimated gross traded notional, and 28% of visible notional.
$185110
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 25 contracts traded, $78250 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$78250
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 71 contracts traded, $75645 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$75645
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 48 contracts traded, $63700 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$63700
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 8 contracts traded, $34180 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$34180

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close251.07
1W+5.1%
RS20.3
Fair value+62.6%
Options pressure-12
Speculation41
Volatility31
Trend fit89

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 3.0% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.27 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 1.21 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.03 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:05 Bullish
Pressure 26
Move 5.0%
30 Jul 10:03 Bullish
Pressure 27
Move 5.7%
31 Jul 10:01 Mixed
Pressure 0
Move 1.2%
1 Aug 10:05 Mixed
Pressure -12
Move 5.7%
1 Aug 18:00 Mixed
Pressure -12
Move 3.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike120.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike125.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike130.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 0
Strike135.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike140.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike145.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike150.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike155.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts112
Avg IV0.27
Put-call1.01
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts112
Avg IV0.26
Put-call4.75
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts114
Avg IV0.38
Put-call0.68
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts84
Avg IV0.37
Put-call0.11
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts84
Avg IV0.36
Put-call2.00

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.27
Put IV0.31
Skew0.04
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.26
Put IV0.26
Skew-
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.41
Put IV0.36
Skew-0.06
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.37
Put IV0.36
Skew-0.01
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.36
Put IV0.35
Skew-0.01

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractROST260918P00260000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike260.00
Volume107
OI34
IV0.36
ContractROST260807C00260000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike260.00
Volume66
OI12
IV0.30
ContractROST260828C00275000
SideCall
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Strike275.00
Volume57
OI-
IV0.37
ContractROST260807P00245000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike245.00
Volume36
OI17
IV0.31
ContractROST260807P00252500
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike252.50
Volume36
OI1
IV0.26
ContractROST260807P00250000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike250.00
Volume34
OI98
IV0.26
ContractROST260807P00240000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike240.00
Volume33
OI7
IV0.39
ContractROST270115C00280000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike280.00
Volume28
OI407
IV0.32