CTRN NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Citi Trends Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

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Latest close 62.92 USD
-2.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a 6.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 26d.

Setup score 64 out of 100
Latest Close 62.92 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.0% latest completed week
4W Return 6.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 31.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 96.2% 50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 7-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 10 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 6.4%. Indicator stack 77/74 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 49/100 conviction; expected move 6.8%. News sentiment 53/100 58 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 26d Next report is scheduled for 25 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a 6.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6712-week average 0.57

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.67Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1010 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 10 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.4% over four weeks, 31.2% over 12 weeks, and 109.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 7 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.0%
4W6.4%
12W31.2%
26W46.9%
52W109.8%
Active trend streak7 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.07Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change54.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership33.68Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change30.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Jan 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength33/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Value20/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Quality33/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Momentum95/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Growth20/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework4/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
43.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
21.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
38.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
1.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
10.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
398.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

CTRN shows bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 6.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction49/100
Expected move6.8%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation4
Volatility46
Trend agreement6
Open options detail
Insider activity12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

14 positive · 40 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings26dNext report is scheduled for 25 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.8%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-10.4%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-2.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses5
Recent vol9.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.3% / -4.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape62/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis58/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 8/12.

Activity pressure 0.67; 10 reversal markers Factors42/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 56; Small Cap Core rank 78 SVQF4/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 695.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options47/100

CTRN shows bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 6.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 6.8% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) Risk Assessment: Volatility, Financial Risk & Investment Risk Insiders12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings26d

Next report is scheduled for 25 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202662.92 USD-2.0%48.37 USD30.27 USD1.0733.68669.0KOn
17 Jul 202664.21 USD11.2%47.61 USD29.99 USD1.2535.71707.8KOn
10 Jul 202657.72 USD4.4%46.87 USD29.69 USD1.3718.16703.6KOn
3 Jul 202655.28 USD-6.5%46.43 USD29.44 USD1.1716.04781.3KOn
26 Jun 202659.12 USD-2.5%46.11 USD29.19 USD0.6925.832.3MOn
19 Jun 202660.66 USD19.8%45.65 USD28.93 USD0.1924.12929.3KOn
12 Jun 202650.64 USD17.6%45.02 USD28.65 USD-0.467.21641.7KOn
5 Jun 202643.06 USD-6.4%44.67 USD28.44 USD-0.78-6.39651.0KOff
29 May 202646.01 USD8.0%44.53 USD28.27 USD-0.60-4.56804.7KOff
22 May 202642.61 USD2.9%44.19 USD28.08 USD-0.51-8.76911.5KOn
15 May 202641.40 USD-10.4%43.98 USD27.90 USD-0.19-10.05595.5KOn
8 May 202646.21 USD-3.6%43.79 USD27.75 USD0.220.31441.7KOn
1 May 202647.96 USD-5.3%43.41 USD27.55 USD0.1210.42308.8KOn
24 Apr 202650.66 USD-2.0%42.90 USD27.35 USD-0.1419.26425.9KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.