- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.26% based on similar historical setup states.
FIVE
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Five Below Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Latest close
217.1 USD
6.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.9%, after a 19.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 37/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 63/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 25d.
Setup score
57
out of 100
Latest Close
217.1 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
6.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
19.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-2.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
86.5%
45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- 7 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 19.0%.
Indicator stack
48/35
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.26%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
37/100 conviction; expected move 7.2%.
News sentiment
63/100
60 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
25d
Next report is scheduled for 26 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.9%, after a 19.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3512-week average 0.59
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.35Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers77 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 7 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 19.0% over four weeks, -2.7% over 12 weeks, and 63.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.99Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change33.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.16Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change148.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 97%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength54/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Value20/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Quality80/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Momentum83/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Growth98/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework35/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 25.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 16.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 6.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 34.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 11.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 16.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 12.0% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 25.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 67.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 5.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
FIVE shows bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.16, expected move of 7.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction37/100
Expected move7.2%
Put/call volume0.16
Insider activity20 / 0
20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment63/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 60 relevant articles.
32 positive · 28 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings25dNext report is scheduled for 26 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move7.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.7%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-16.2%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+6.9%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol6.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -4.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank4 / 100
Group average1.4%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.0%positive activity pressure
RS34.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Specialty Retail
4-week rank3 / 44
Group average-2.0%
Trend breadth29.5%
Trend29.5%active weekly trend signals
MD54.5%positive activity pressure
RS22.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape52/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 52/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis25/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.35; 7 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.26%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.26% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors58/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 69; Small Cap Core rank 86 SVQF35/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 469.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options40/100FIVE shows bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.16, expected move of 7.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 7.2% Sentiment63/100Weighted news tone is positive across 60 relevant articles.
Is Five Below (FIVE) Undervalued On Its Guidance Raise And Earnings Beat? Insiders20 / 020 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings25dNext report is scheduled for 26 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 217.1 USD | 6.9% | 210.2 USD | 148.7 USD | -0.99 | 6.16 | 5.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 203.2 USD | 0.3% | 209.4 USD | 148.6 USD | -1.27 | 0.37 | 5.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 202.6 USD | 7.0% | 208.9 USD | 148.6 USD | -1.34 | -1.17 | 6.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 189.4 USD | 3.8% | 208.2 USD | 148.6 USD | -1.52 | -11.23 | 5.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 182.4 USD | -3.2% | 208.0 USD | 148.7 USD | -1.48 | -12.79 | 5.0M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 188.4 USD | -2.9% | 207.7 USD | 148.7 USD | -1.41 | -9.08 | 5.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 194.1 USD | -2.2% | 206.9 USD | 148.8 USD | -1.25 | -10.39 | 4.6M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 198.5 USD | 4.2% | 205.6 USD | 148.8 USD | -1.08 | -5.72 | 7.9M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 190.5 USD | -16.2% | 203.9 USD | 148.8 USD | -1.00 | -7.18 | 13.9M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 227.4 USD | 3.6% | 202.7 USD | 148.7 USD | -0.83 | 6.01 | 4.6M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 219.5 USD | 2.7% | 200.3 USD | 148.4 USD | -0.62 | 5.89 | 5.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 213.6 USD | -4.3% | 198.2 USD | 148.2 USD | -0.23 | 4.97 | 5.5M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 223.1 USD | -3.2% | 196.2 USD | 148.0 USD | 0.19 | 9.99 | 4.2M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 230.5 USD | -1.5% | 193.4 USD | 147.9 USD | 0.35 | 21.01 | 3.9M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.