MAR NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Marriott International Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Latest close 374.4 USD
2.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a -0.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 39/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 58 out of 100
Latest Close 374.4 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.2% latest completed week
4W Return -0.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 94.2% 49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 49-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 13 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a -0.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9312-week average 0.81

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.93Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1313 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 13 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.8% over four weeks, 5.7% over 12 weeks, and 35.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 49 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.2%
4W-0.8%
12W5.7%
26W17.6%
52W35.3%
Active trend streak49 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.31Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-122.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.15Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change33.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength13/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Value11/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Quality22/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Momentum79/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Growth27/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
38.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
24.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
21.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
16.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
24.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
4.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
4.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
17.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

MAR shows mixed options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.81, expected move of 3.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction39/100
Expected move3.6%
Put/call volume0.81
Pressure15
Speculation41
Volatility34
Trend agreement80
Open options detail
Insider activity16 / 4

16 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 41 relevant articles.

10 positive · 30 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.7%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-5.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026374.4 USD2.2%351.0 USD265.5 USD-0.318.155.4MOn
17 Jul 2026366.2 USD-2.6%349.0 USD264.3 USD0.194.337.5MOn
10 Jul 2026376.1 USD0.8%347.1 USD263.2 USD0.752.856.9MOn
3 Jul 2026372.9 USD-1.2%344.5 USD262.0 USD1.143.896.6MOn
26 Jun 2026377.3 USD-4.8%341.8 USD260.7 USD1.386.109.0MOn
19 Jun 2026396.2 USD-1.6%339.3 USD259.5 USD1.276.557.9MOn
12 Jun 2026402.5 USD2.6%336.0 USD258.0 USD0.8511.337.1MOn
5 Jun 2026392.5 USD4.5%332.0 USD256.5 USD0.3911.396.8MOn
29 May 2026375.6 USD1.7%328.6 USD255.1 USD0.112.027.0MOn
22 May 2026369.1 USD4.7%324.7 USD253.8 USD-0.023.186.5MOn
15 May 2026352.5 USD-0.0%321.4 USD252.5 USD0.05-0.246.7MOn
8 May 2026352.5 USD-0.5%318.3 USD251.4 USD0.27-0.657.1MOn
1 May 2026354.3 USD-3.3%315.1 USD250.2 USD0.265.236.8MOn
24 Apr 2026366.4 USD-2.9%312.2 USD249.0 USD0.1110.616.4MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.