GHG NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

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Latest close 1.16 USD
3.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.1%, after a 0.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 23 out of 100
Latest Close 1.16 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.1% latest completed week
4W Return 0.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.38% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.4%. Indicator stack 0/74 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 40.38% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 37 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.1%, after a 0.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0612-week average 0.02

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.4% over four weeks, -5.3% over 12 weeks, and -45.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.1%
4W0.4%
12W-5.3%
26W-24.5%
52W-45.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change210.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-32.78Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change12.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 95%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength69/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Value99/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality35/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Momentum2/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Growth1/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
1.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
1.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
495.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
34.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
1.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
55.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
0.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-19.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-42.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-23.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
35.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
35.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.

6 positive · 26 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-53.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.3%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-8.6%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+3.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains8
Flat weeks1
Modest losses11
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split17/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape20/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 20/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis27/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.38%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.38% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors52/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 69; Buyback Yield rank 43; Small Cap Core rank 1 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG) Risk Assessment: Volatility, Financial Risk & Investment Risk Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20261.16 USD3.1%1.28 USD2.44 USD0.41-32.7821.3KOff
24 Jul 20261.12 USD-5.9%1.30 USD2.47 USD0.36-35.1429.4KOff
17 Jul 20261.19 USD0.8%1.32 USD2.50 USD0.38-32.6526.9KOff
10 Jul 20261.18 USD2.6%1.34 USD2.53 USD0.24-35.4336.9KOff
3 Jul 20261.15 USD1.8%1.36 USD2.55 USD0.13-37.2655.8KOff
26 Jun 20261.13 USD-0.0%1.38 USD2.58 USD0.09-37.9331.1KOff
19 Jun 20261.13 USD0.0%1.41 USD2.60 USD0.32-40.2457.6KOff
12 Jun 20261.13 USD-3.4%1.43 USD2.63 USD0.29-40.5534.7KOff
5 Jun 20261.17 USD-8.6%1.46 USD2.65 USD0.31-38.9544.8KOff
29 May 20261.28 USD14.3%1.48 USD2.66 USD0.29-35.77219.3KOff
22 May 20261.12 USD-2.6%1.51 USD2.68 USD-0.00-43.64124.1KOff
15 May 20261.15 USD-5.7%1.54 USD2.70 USD-0.14-42.40163.9KOff
8 May 20261.22 USD-1.6%1.56 USD2.72 USD-0.43-39.54121.8KOff
1 May 20261.24 USD-0.8%1.58 USD2.74 USD-0.76-37.90126.1KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.