Ticker Options Intelligence

USAU options intelligence

US Gold Corp options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 43 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 07:45 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

USAU currently carries bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 14.9%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 14.9%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.17

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -2.7%

RS -26.8

Expected move 14.9%
Put-call volume 0.17
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.62
Max pain 15.00
Underlying 13.34
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 92

Research Brief

USAU has a bullish chain read with 43/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 11.35–15.33; The largest call open-interest concentration is 15.00; the largest put concentration is 10.00. The most active strike by current volume is 17.50.

Priced range11.35–15.33
Call concentration15.00
Put concentration10.00
Max pain reference15.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 11.35 to 15.33. Max pain at 15.00 sits inside that range, 12.4% above spot.

Spot Max pain
11.3513.34 ± 1.9915.33
Confirmation level

A close beyond 15.33 or below 11.35 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 43/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 81/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure81 × 42%
+33.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation2 × 22%
+0.5

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility83 × 10%
+8.3

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score42.8Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 15.00; the largest put concentration is 10.00. The most active strike by current volume is 17.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
2.50-81.3%
3
0
5.00-62.5%
6
0
7.50-43.8%
2
354
10.00-25.0%
27
65
12.50-6.3%
289
279
15.0012.4%
2173
49
17.5031.2%
214
103
20.0049.9%
553
2
22.5068.7%
204
0
25.0087.4%
178
0
30.00124.9%
41
0
35.00162.4%
162
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.07× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.62 21 Aug 21d
0.46 18 Sep 49d
0.63 20 Nov 112d
0.58 19 Feb 203d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

13
15
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
92 / 92
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

84/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1581 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+81
1W price-2.7%
Call premium83%
Put premium17%
Notional split C 83% / P 17% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 3 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 6 contracts traded, $1290 estimated gross traded notional, and 82% of visible notional.
$1290
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $270 estimated gross traded notional, and 17% of visible notional.
$270
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 6 contracts traded, $21 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$21

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close12.98
1W-2.7%
RS-26.8
Fair value+35.0%
Options pressure81
Speculation2
Volatility83
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 14.9% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.62 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.17 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:38 Volatility
Pressure 73
Move 12.3%
30 Jul 11:17 Bullish
Pressure 29
Move 12.4%
31 Jul 10:52 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 18.4%
1 Aug 06:45 Bullish
Pressure 81
Move 14.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 6
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike10.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 27
Puts · V 0 · OI 354
Strike12.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 289
Puts · V 0 · OI 65
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2173
Puts · V 0 · OI 279
Strike17.50
Calls · V 3 · OI 214
Puts · V 0 · OI 49
Strike20.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 553
Puts · V 0 · OI 103

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts24
Avg IV0.62
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.46
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts24
Avg IV0.63
Put-call0.67
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts22
Avg IV0.58
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.60
Put IV0.11
Skew-0.49
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.79
Put IV0.07
Skew-0.71
20 Nov 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.74
Put IV0.59
Skew-0.15
19 Feb 2027Call IV premium
Call IV0.70
Put IV0.57
Skew-0.13

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractUSAU260821C00020000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike20.00
Volume3
OI553
IV0.77
ContractUSAU260821C00017500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike17.50
Volume3
OI214
IV0.56
ContractUSAU261120C00012500
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike12.50
Volume3
OI61
IV0.45
ContractUSAU270219C00012500
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike12.50
Volume3
OI10
IV0.62
ContractUSAU261120P00012500
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike12.50
Volume2
OI204
IV0.59
ContractUSAU260821C00015000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI2173
IV0.60
ContractUSAU261120C00020000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI413
IV0.33
ContractUSAU260821P00010000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI354
IV0.53