Ticker Options Intelligence

AMBP options intelligence

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 55 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 30 Jul 2026 05:33 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

AMBP currently carries volatility options pressure with a 55/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 7.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 7.3%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.03

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.07

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +1.9%

RS 13.0

Expected move 7.3%
Put-call volume 0.07
Volume / OI 0.03
Reference IV 0.89
Max pain 5.00
Underlying 4.78
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 30

Options Intent Radar

Volatility expansion bet

90/100
Primary intent Volatility expansion bet

The strongest message is movement risk: expected move and implied volatility are carrying more signal than direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Volatility expansion bet matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $13260 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+98
1W price+1.9%
Call premium96%
Put premium4%
Notional split C 96% / P 4% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.03 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 246 contracts traded, $9020 estimated gross traded notional, and 68% of visible notional.
$9020
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 8 contracts traded, $1880 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$1880
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $980 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$980
Calls · 22-45 days · OTM calls cluster with 57 contracts traded, $845 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$845
Puts · 22-45 days · ITM puts cluster with 20 contracts traded, $400 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$400

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

33

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Volume rank0th
Volume/OI rank0th
IV rank100th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close4.78
1W+1.9%
RS13.0
Fair value+49.5%
Options pressure98
Speculation25
Volatility85
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 7.3% muted
30d avg 9.9% · 1 read 0th
90d avg 9.9% · 1 read 0th
180d avg 9.9% · 1 read 0th
IV 0.89 elevated
30d avg 0.79 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.79 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.79 · 1 read 100th
Put-call 0.07 muted
30d avg 0.17 · 1 read 0th
90d avg 0.17 · 1 read 0th
180d avg 0.17 · 1 read 0th
Volume/OI 0.03 muted
30d avg 0.07 · 1 read 0th
90d avg 0.07 · 1 read 0th
180d avg 0.07 · 1 read 0th

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:57 Volatility
Pressure 82
Move 9.9%
30 Jul 04:33 Volatility
Pressure 98
Move 7.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 56 · OI 450
Puts · V 20 · OI 38
Strike7.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 8
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV0.89
Put-call0.35
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV0.68
Put-call2.00
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV0.45
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV0.41
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV0.29
Put-call0.00

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.81
Put IV1.36
Skew0.55
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.02
Put IV0.92
Skew0.90
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.43
Put IV0.75
Skew0.31
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.56
Skew0.24
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.29
Put IV0.51
Skew0.22

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractAMBP270115C00005000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike5.00
Volume193
OI7880
IV0.32
ContractAMBP260821C00005000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike5.00
Volume56
OI450
IV0.33
ContractAMBP270115C00007500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike7.50
Volume51
OI17
IV0.29
ContractAMBP260821P00005000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike5.00
Volume20
OI38
IV0.38
ContractAMBP270115C00002500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike2.50
Volume8
OI39
IV0.01
ContractAMBP261016C00002500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike2.50
Volume4
OI-
IV0.01
ContractAMBP261218C00005000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike5.00
Volume2
OI1552
IV0.32
ContractAMBP261016C00005000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike5.00
Volume2
OI380
IV0.36