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AMBP

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
Chart
4.78 USD
Latest Week 2026-07-24
Snapshot 2026-07-26 · 0.6w · Fresh
0.73
OS Score
68.0%
Value
23.0%
Quality
82.0%
Momentum
6/9
F-Score
0.395
QV
Strategy Eligibility
6 of 23 passing
OS Composite
Trending Value
Quality × Value
🏛
Cornerstone Value
🌿
Cornerstone Growth
💎
Deep Value
VC2 Cheapest
📐
EBITDA/EV
10.6%
Veiled Value
Piotroski Bargains
🔬
Quality Compounders
📈
Consistent Earners
🌱
GARP
🔄
Shareholder Yield
16.4%
💰
High Yield
Div 6.3%
🚀
Momentum Leaders
12-1 36%
Market Leaders
Tiny Titans
🔍
Small Cap Value
🛡
Low Volatility
🏷
Sector Cheapest
🧠
Capital Allocators
CAQ 0.58
Risk-Adj Momentum
RAM 1.28
V
Value Analysis
Cheapness relative to fundamentals
68.0%ile
P/E
69.7×
P/S
0.5×
E/P
0.0379
FCF Yield
0.099
EBITDA/EV
0.106
SH Yield
0.164
Relative Strength Across Value Dimensions
Multiples & Yields — Decomposition
VC1 (5-Factor)
25.00000000
/100 — 1=cheapest
VC2 (Trending Value)
17.00000000
/100
VC3 (Buyback)
19.00000000
/100
P/E of 69.7x is premium-priced — the market is paying up for expected growth. FCF yield of 9.9% is strong — the business generates significant free cash relative to price.
Q
Quality Analysis
Profitability, efficiency, balance sheet & earnings quality
23.0%ile
ROE
-0.054
ROA
0.007
Net Margin
0.007
Op Margin
0.044
GPA
0.118
D/E
-8.34
Current
1.06
F-Score
6/9
Quality Radar — Relative Strength
Profitability & Leverage Breakdown
Rev Growth
0.145
Earn Growth
4.857
Stability
3.113
lower=better
Accruals
-0.082
lower=better
5yr Consist
No
Conservative balance sheet with D/E of -8.34.
M
Momentum & Risk
Price trend, volatility regime, risk-adjusted returns
82.0%ile
6M Return
13.8%
12M Return
41.0%
12-1 Mom
36.0%
Risk-Adj
1.28
Vol 252d
28.0%
Vol 60d
60.7%
↑ Expanding
Max DD 12M
-17.4%
Return Comparison — 6M / 12M / 12-1
Volatility Regime — 60d vs 252d
12-1 momentum of 36% is very strong — a clear uptrend. Near-term vol (61%) is expanding vs long-term (28%) — risk is increasing.
OS
Composite & Factor Heatmap
All factors at a glance
0.73
Pillar Balance — Value / Quality / Momentum
Factor Heatmap — green=strong, red=weak
Sector Context
Consumer Cyclical · 486 peers
Sector Value %ile
58.3%
Sector Quality %ile
30.2%
P/E z-score
0.17
Sector Avg OS
50.3%
Ticker vs Sector Averages
Relative Valuation Z-Score
Top Sector Peers (By OS)
SymbolNameOSValueQualityMomentum
BWMX Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. 99.0% 98.0% 95.0% 90.0%
HTHT Huazhu Group Ltd 98.0% 95.0% 92.0% 75.0%
FLXS Flexsteel Industries Inc 98.0% 94.0% 78.0% 94.0%
CYD China Yuchai International Limited 98.0% 99.0% 70.0% 92.0%
M Macy’s Inc 98.0% 96.0% 74.0% 93.0%
SBH Sally Beauty Holdings Inc 97.0% 93.0% 88.0% 82.0%
WEYS Weyco Group Inc 96.0% 91.0% 79.0% 77.0%
RRR Red Rock Resorts Inc 96.0% 86.0% 98.0% 71.0%
Factor Interactions
Cheap for a Reason?
Looks cheap (68th value) but weak quality (23th). Classic value trap risk.
Strong Capital Return
Shareholder yield 16.4% backed by 9.9% FCF yield. Returns are well-funded.
Volatility Expanding
60-day vol (61%) significantly exceeds 252-day (28%). Near-term risk is elevated.
Factor Analysis
Comprehensive factor intelligence — strengths, weaknesses & cross-factor profile
Value
B
60.3% avg (6 factors)
Quality
D
36.0% avg (8 factors)
Momentum
B
68.0% avg (4 factors)
Risk
B
70.0% avg (1 factors)
Deep value territory, but quality is concerning. This is either a turnaround opportunity or a value trap — the F-Score and accruals ratio will be key differentiators.
▲ Top Strengths — highest scoring factors
▼ Key Weaknesses — lowest scoring factors
Score Trends8 snapshots
Factor Persistence8 snapshots
FactorCurrentStreakTrendSpark
OS Composite0.730—1
Value %ile0.680—0
Quality %ile0.230—8
Momentum %ile0.820—1
F-Score6.000—0
Confidence0.939—8
Volatility0.280—0
Value Lens2021-07-27 → 2026-07-26
P/E Ratio
Earnings Yield
Value FactorsCheapness relative to fundamentals — lower multiples = cheaper
P/E Ratio
69.68
Earnings Yield (E/P)
0.0379
Price / Sales
0.48
Price / Cash Flow
5.77
FCF Yield
9.9%
EBITDA / EV
10.6%
Sales Yield (1/P·S)
0.8534
Shareholder Yield
Div + net buyback / mktcap
16.4%
Quality FactorsProfitability, efficiency, and balance sheet strength
Return on Equity
-5.4%
Return on Assets
0.7%
Net Margin
0.7%
Operating Margin
4.4%
Gross Profit / Assets
Novy-Marx GPA
11.8%
Debt / Equity
-8.34
Current Ratio
1.06
Accruals Ratio
(NI-OCF)/Assets — lower=better
-0.082
MomentumPrice trend strength over different horizons
6M Return
13.8%
12M Return
41.0%
12-1 Momentum
Jegadeesh-Titman (skip recent month)
36.0%
Risk-Adjusted Momentum
Mom 12-1 ÷ Vol
1.28
Growth & StabilityEarnings trajectory, consistency, and capital allocation
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
485.7%
Earnings Stability (CV)
Lower = more stable
3.113
5yr Consistent
EPS up every year for 5 years
No
Piotroski F-Score
6
Dividend Yield
6.3%
Buyback Yield
10.1%
O'Shaughnessy CompositesValue Composites (WWOWS 4th Ed) — 1=cheapest, 100=most expensive
VC1 (5-factor)
P/E+P/S+P/B+P/CF+EBITDA/EV
25
VC2 (6-factor)
VC1 + Shareholder Yield — used for Trending Value
17
VC3 (6-factor)
VC1 + Buyback Yield — no dividend preference
19
Capital Allocation & AlphaAlpha within factors — quality of management decisions
Veiled Value
Expensive by P/B, cheap by everything else
No
Market Leader
Above-avg mcap+revenue, non-utility
No
All Stocks Universe
Market cap > $200M
Yes
Tiny Titan
Micro-cap, low P/S, positive momentum
No
Quarterly Fundamentals
Revenue
Net Income
FCF
Net Margin
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Op Income
OCF
CapEx
Equity
Annual Fundamentals
Revenue
Net Income
FCF
Net Margin
Show all
Op Income
OCF
CapEx
Equity