Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?

Rates & Inflation expectations are rising at 67.0% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is rising at 67.0%. 24h move +10.0 pts. 7d move +33.0 pts. Data quality 37/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 67.0%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 53
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 999 Liquidity 2.1K Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality37.3
Momentum70.0
Urgency53.5
7d Move33.0 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is rising at 67.0%. 24h move +10.0 pts. 7d move +33.0 pts. Data quality 37/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? 53.5% · Probability Surge · score 65 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? 47.5% · Probability Surge · score 62 Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group think" during July Press Conference? 26.5% · Probability Fade · score 52 Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July? 0.2% · Probability Fade · score 45 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? 45.5% · Watch · score 36 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting? 0.5% · Watch · score 32