Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?

Rates & Inflation expectations are rising at 0.4% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 0.4%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move -0.2 pts. Data quality 48/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 0.5%
Signal Watch
Score 31
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.7K Liquidity 16.5K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality47.7
Momentum0.6
Urgency54.2
7d Move-0.2 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 0.4%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move -0.2 pts. Data quality 48/100.

Same theme
Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference? 64.0% · Probability Surge · score 57 Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference? 25.5% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? 52.0% · Probability Surge · score 54 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? 48.5% · Probability Surge · score 51 Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference? 62.0% · Probability Surge · score 48 Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July? 0.2% · Probability Fade · score 45