Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group think" during July Press Conference?

Rates & Inflation expectations are falling at 26.5% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is falling at 26.5%. 24h move -13.5 pts. 7d move -13.5 pts. Data quality 35/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 26.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 52
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 979 Liquidity 488 Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality34.7
Momentum69.3
Urgency53.9
7d Move-13.5 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is falling at 26.5%. 24h move -13.5 pts. 7d move -13.5 pts. Data quality 35/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? 53.5% · Probability Surge · score 65 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? 47.5% · Probability Surge · score 62 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June? 67.0% · Probability Surge · score 53 Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July? 0.2% · Probability Fade · score 45 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? 45.5% · Watch · score 36 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting? 0.5% · Watch · score 32