Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will Warsh say "Central Bank" during July Press Conference?

Rates & Inflation expectations are steady at 79.5% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 79.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 33/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 79.5%
Signal Watch
Score 25
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 921 Liquidity 309 Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality33.5
Momentum0.0
Urgency53.9
7d Move0.0 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 79.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 33/100.

Same theme
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? 53.5% · Probability Surge · score 65 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? 47.5% · Probability Surge · score 62 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June? 67.0% · Probability Surge · score 53 Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group think" during July Press Conference? 26.5% · Probability Fade · score 52 Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July? 0.2% · Probability Fade · score 45 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? 45.5% · Watch · score 36