Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will Warsh say "Uncertainty" during July Press Conference?

Rates & Inflation expectations are rising at 65.0% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 65.0%. 24h move +1.5 pts. 7d move +1.5 pts. Data quality 28/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 65.0%
Signal Watch
Score 26
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 96 Liquidity 326 Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality28.2
Momentum8.7
Urgency53.9
7d Move1.5 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 65.0%. 24h move +1.5 pts. 7d move +1.5 pts. Data quality 28/100.

Same theme
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? 53.5% · Probability Surge · score 65 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? 47.5% · Probability Surge · score 62 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June? 67.0% · Probability Surge · score 53 Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group think" during July Press Conference? 26.5% · Probability Fade · score 52 Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July? 0.2% · Probability Fade · score 45 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? 45.5% · Watch · score 36