Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 83.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 83.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 42/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 83.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 24
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.9K Liquidity 1.2K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality41.8
Momentum2.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 83.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 42/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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