TNL NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Travel + Leisure Co · Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

Latest close 74.05 USD
1.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.1%, after a -5.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 81d.

Setup score 56 out of 100
Latest Close 74.05 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.1% latest completed week
4W Return -5.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 86.5% 45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.1%, after a -5.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6312-week average 0.49

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.63Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.1% over four weeks, 15.9% over 12 weeks, and 21.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.1%
4W-5.1%
12W15.9%
26W7.8%
52W21.2%
Active trend streak5 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.31Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-6.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.17Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-78.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength87/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality67/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Momentum73/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Growth12/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework45/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
19.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
45.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
24.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
4.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-40.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
44.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
6.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
7.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

TNL shows bullish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.04, expected move of 5.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction45/100
Expected move5.7%
Put/call volume0.04
Pressure93
Speculation9
Volatility41
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity7 / 13

7 acquisitions and 13 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 78 relevant articles.

29 positive · 44 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings81dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.5%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-14.1%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+1.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202674.05 USD1.1%70.94 USD50.52 USD0.312.176.1MOn
17 Jul 202673.27 USD-1.3%70.85 USD50.27 USD0.340.573.5MOn
10 Jul 202674.25 USD-3.1%70.77 USD50.04 USD0.440.533.1MOn
3 Jul 202676.59 USD-1.9%70.62 USD49.80 USD0.445.292.4MOn
26 Jun 202678.04 USD1.7%70.30 USD49.54 USD0.339.933.1MOn
19 Jun 202676.71 USD3.5%69.93 USD49.27 USD-0.116.003.2MOff
12 Jun 202674.13 USD4.2%69.47 USD49.00 USD-0.493.854.8MOff
5 Jun 202671.12 USD5.4%69.05 USD48.76 USD-0.860.645.8MOff
29 May 202667.45 USD4.4%68.74 USD48.53 USD-1.07-6.652.8MOff
22 May 202664.60 USD4.1%68.54 USD48.32 USD-1.00-9.133.9MOff
15 May 202662.03 USD-4.9%68.50 USD48.12 USD-0.89-11.854.0MOff
8 May 202665.25 USD2.1%68.39 USD47.93 USD-0.43-7.064.9MOff
1 May 202663.88 USD-4.3%68.11 USD47.71 USD-0.20-6.745.3MOn
24 Apr 202666.78 USD-14.1%67.99 USD47.50 USD-0.18-1.447.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.