MRTN NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Marten Transport Ltd · Industrials · Trucking

Latest close 14.79 USD
-9.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 60.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.3%, after a -15.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 82d.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 14.79 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -9.3% latest completed week
4W Return -15.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 26-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 60.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.3%, after a -15.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9512-week average 0.93

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -15.3% over four weeks, -4.7% over 12 weeks, and 27.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 26 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-9.3%
4W-15.3%
12W-4.7%
26W21.3%
52W27.3%
Active trend streak26 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.05Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-104.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.20Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-78.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength21/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Value25/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Quality21/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Momentum77/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Growth1/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
105.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
13.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
25.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
1.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
19.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-6.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-39.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-53.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

MRTN shows bearish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.67, expected move of 21.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction42/100
Expected move21.2%
Put/call volume2.67
Pressure-34
Speculation16
Volatility69
Trend agreement65
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 0

11 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.

9 positive · 25 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings82dNext report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move21.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.2%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-9.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-9.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.3% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202614.79 USD-9.3%14.78 USD15.31 USD-0.054.204.2MOn
24 Jul 202616.30 USD-7.6%14.66 USD15.36 USD0.4215.513.4MOn
17 Jul 202617.65 USD2.9%14.50 USD15.39 USD0.9423.222.9MOn
10 Jul 202617.15 USD-1.8%14.29 USD15.41 USD1.0415.072.8MOn
3 Jul 202617.46 USD-0.1%14.10 USD15.42 USD1.2319.202.7MOn
26 Jun 202617.47 USD3.7%13.89 USD15.43 USD1.3020.336.7MOn
19 Jun 202616.85 USD-6.9%13.65 USD15.45 USD1.1810.993.5MOn
12 Jun 202618.10 USD2.3%13.41 USD15.47 USD1.2622.254.4MOn
5 Jun 202617.69 USD3.0%13.12 USD15.49 USD1.1722.334.0MOn
29 May 202617.18 USD3.3%12.86 USD15.51 USD1.1913.583.6MOn
22 May 202616.63 USD7.5%12.62 USD15.53 USD1.1912.995.0MOn
15 May 202615.47 USD-0.4%12.39 USD15.56 USD1.126.174.1MOn
8 May 202615.53 USD2.8%12.23 USD15.59 USD1.085.835.2MOn
1 May 202615.10 USD2.4%12.06 USD15.62 USD0.888.114.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.