TFII NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

TFI International Inc · Industrials · Trucking

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Latest close 135.0 USD
-10.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.2%, after a -3.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 61/100.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 135.0 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -10.2% latest completed week
4W Return -3.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 84.6% 44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 34-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 11 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -10.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -3.0%. Indicator stack 92/39 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 52/100 conviction; expected move 11.9%. News sentiment 61/100 26 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 27 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 27 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.2%, after a -3.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9012-week average 0.90

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.90Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1111 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 11 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.0% over four weeks, -2.6% over 12 weeks, and 60.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 34 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-10.2%
4W-3.0%
12W-2.6%
26W26.1%
52W60.8%
Active trend streak34 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-113.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership9.72Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-40.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength57/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Value27/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Quality66/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Momentum89/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Growth11/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework25/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
37.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
12.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
1.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-14.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-6.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

TFII shows bullish options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.02, expected move of 11.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction52/100
Expected move11.9%
Put/call volume0.02
Pressure99
Speculation14
Volatility69
Trend agreement2
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment61/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

14 positive · 9 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings27 JulLatest stored earnings date was 27 Jul 2026.
Options expected move11.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.3%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-10.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-10.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.4% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape63/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 63/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis78/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.90; 11 reversal markers Factors58/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 27; Small Cap Core rank 73 SVQF25/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 765.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options48/100

TFII shows bullish options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.02, expected move of 11.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 11.9% Sentiment61/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

TFI International Inc. Stock 12‑Month Price Target Raised to $170.18, Implies 17% Upside Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings27 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 27 Jul 2026.

 Research flow1 items

1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026135.0 USD-10.2%129.8 USD119.1 USD-0.109.723.4MOn
24 Jul 2026150.4 USD-3.5%128.8 USD119.0 USD-0.0124.22931.1KOn
17 Jul 2026155.8 USD5.5%127.3 USD118.9 USD0.2628.791.7MOn
10 Jul 2026147.6 USD6.1%125.6 USD118.6 USD0.4421.132.1MOn
3 Jul 2026139.1 USD-3.4%124.1 USD118.3 USD0.7916.431.1MOn
26 Jun 2026144.0 USD-0.6%122.6 USD118.1 USD1.1123.651.5MOn
19 Jun 2026144.9 USD-9.4%120.7 USD117.9 USD1.2622.262.2MOn
12 Jun 2026159.9 USD0.6%118.7 USD117.6 USD1.2236.903.3MOn
5 Jun 2026159.0 USD3.5%116.2 USD117.2 USD0.9138.021.6MOn
29 May 2026153.6 USD4.1%113.8 USD116.9 USD0.7531.161.6MOn
22 May 2026147.6 USD4.9%111.7 USD116.6 USD0.7828.771.4MOn
15 May 2026140.7 USD1.5%109.7 USD116.3 USD0.7424.611.5MOn
8 May 2026138.7 USD-2.3%108.2 USD116.0 USD0.6723.701.5MOn
1 May 2026142.0 USD2.2%106.4 USD115.8 USD0.5430.362.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.