- The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
CNH
NYSE
Week ended 11 Sep 2026
Weekly Investor Report
CNH Industrial N.V. · Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Latest close
13.58 USD
-5.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.7%, after a 30.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 46/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 48d.
Setup score
57
out of 100
Latest Close
13.58 USD
11 Sep 2026
1W Return
-5.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
30.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
29.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
21.2%
11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.42% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-5.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 30.1%.
Indicator stack
19/97
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.42%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
46/100 conviction; expected move 8.4%.
News sentiment
52/100
24 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
48d
Next report is scheduled for 06 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.7%, after a 30.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3512-week average 0.15
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.35Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 30.1% over four weeks, 29.8% over 12 weeks, and 25.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.71Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change202.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership16.28Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change230.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 11 Sep 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 100%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength18/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Value23/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Quality20/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Momentum70/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework34/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 70.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 14.7x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 30.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 13.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 4.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 7.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 0.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -62.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -61.6% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.7% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 7.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
CNH shows volatility options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 5.50, expected move of 8.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction46/100
Expected move8.4%
Put/call volume5.50
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.
14 positive · 10 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings48dNext report is scheduled for 06 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
11 Sep
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+23.3%Week of 4 Sep.
Worst week-8.5%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week-5.7%Week of 11 Sep.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses6
Recent vol8.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.0% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank1 / 100
Group average-7.1%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD37.0%positive activity pressure
RS29.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
4-week rank2 / 26
Group average-5.7%
Trend breadth38.5%
Trend38.5%active weekly trend signals
MD69.2%positive activity pressure
RS26.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape50/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis34/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.35; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.42%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.42% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors30/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 26 SVQF34/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 672.5 of 1017 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options46/100CNH shows volatility options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 5.50, expected move of 8.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 8.4% Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.
CNH announces emissions-system software updates to help customers maximize uptime Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings48dNext report is scheduled for 06 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Research flow4 items1 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | 13.58 USD | -5.7% | 11.02 USD | 11.07 USD | 1.71 | 16.28 | 75.6M | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 14.40 USD | 23.3% | 10.99 USD | 11.06 USD | 1.34 | 22.52 | 251.5M | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 11.68 USD | -1.6% | 10.92 USD | 11.05 USD | 1.05 | -0.40 | 74.3M | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 11.87 USD | 13.7% | 10.88 USD | 11.06 USD | 0.76 | 1.37 | 91.4M | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 10.44 USD | -4.3% | 10.85 USD | 11.06 USD | 0.57 | -12.47 | 71.4M | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 10.91 USD | 6.4% | 10.86 USD | 11.07 USD | 0.47 | -8.79 | 99.8M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 10.25 USD | -8.1% | 10.83 USD | 11.08 USD | 0.17 | -11.89 | 73.7M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 11.15 USD | 4.8% | 10.80 USD | 11.10 USD | 0.09 | -3.86 | 63.8M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 10.64 USD | 1.8% | 10.74 USD | 11.12 USD | -0.03 | -9.44 | 41.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 10.45 USD | -2.5% | 10.70 USD | 11.14 USD | -0.05 | -13.11 | 40.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 10.72 USD | -2.8% | 10.68 USD | 11.16 USD | -0.07 | -10.48 | 48.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 11.03 USD | 5.4% | 10.63 USD | 11.18 USD | -0.15 | -6.74 | 56.5M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 10.46 USD | -1.3% | 10.58 USD | 11.19 USD | -0.49 | -14.28 | 44.9M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 10.60 USD | -1.4% | 10.55 USD | 11.21 USD | -0.63 | -13.10 | 52.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.