AGCO NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

AGCO Corporation · Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Latest close 121.2 USD
5.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 50.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.1%, after a 3.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 41/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 121.2 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 5.1% latest completed week
4W Return 3.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 50.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.1%, after a 3.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2812-week average 0.31

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.28Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.3% over four weeks, 2.5% over 12 weeks, and 8.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.1%
4W3.3%
12W2.5%
26W7.0%
52W8.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.15Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change62.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.12Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change70.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength83/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Value83/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Quality69/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Momentum33/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Growth23/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework71/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
24.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
13.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-3.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-13.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

AGCO shows bullish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 15.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction41/100
Expected move15.0%
Put/call volume0.32
Pressure62
Speculation41
Volatility54
Trend agreement4
Open options detail
Insider activity15 / 4

15 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

8 positive · 12 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move15.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.9%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-9.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+5.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026121.2 USD5.1%117.8 USD106.3 USD-0.15-1.124.3MOff
17 Jul 2026115.3 USD0.9%117.2 USD106.3 USD-0.27-6.613.1MOff
10 Jul 2026114.3 USD-1.9%116.9 USD106.4 USD-0.30-9.023.7MOff
3 Jul 2026116.5 USD-0.7%116.7 USD106.5 USD-0.36-6.312.5MOff
26 Jun 2026117.3 USD3.2%116.3 USD106.5 USD-0.40-3.793.9MOff
19 Jun 2026113.7 USD1.0%115.9 USD106.6 USD-0.75-9.093.1MOff
12 Jun 2026112.5 USD-3.4%115.7 USD106.6 USD-0.82-9.404.3MOff
5 Jun 2026116.4 USD3.7%115.4 USD106.7 USD-0.91-5.893.6MOff
29 May 2026112.3 USD-0.5%115.0 USD106.7 USD-0.79-11.612.3MOff
22 May 2026112.8 USD-0.4%114.7 USD106.7 USD-0.64-10.073.1MOn
15 May 2026113.3 USD-3.2%114.5 USD106.7 USD-0.54-9.163.0MOn
8 May 2026117.0 USD-1.0%114.3 USD106.7 USD-0.38-6.275.4MOn
1 May 2026118.2 USD2.0%113.8 USD106.6 USD-0.45-3.293.2MOn
24 Apr 2026115.8 USD-2.1%113.5 USD106.6 USD-0.46-4.383.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.