TOP SET Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Thai Oil Public Company Limited · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Latest close 65.50 THB
2.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 35.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.7%, after a 30.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 76 out of 100
Latest Close 65.50 THB 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.7% latest completed week
4W Return 30.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 38.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 57-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 35.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.7%, after a 30.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7412-week average 0.72

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.74Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 30.3% over four weeks, 38.6% over 12 weeks, and 102.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 57 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.7%
4W30.3%
12W38.6%
26W56.0%
52W102.5%
Active trend streak57 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.34Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change304.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership34.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change388.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.

0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+24.0%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-10.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.2% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202665.50 THB2.7%48.29 THB40.41 THB1.3434.0653.1MOn
24 Jul 202663.75 THB2.8%47.29 THB40.27 THB1.1530.16142.5MOn
17 Jul 202662.00 THB24.0%46.34 THB40.13 THB0.5728.04207.4MOn
10 Jul 202650.00 THB-0.5%45.42 THB40.00 THB-0.145.33100.3MOn
3 Jul 202650.25 THB7.5%44.89 THB39.93 THB-0.656.9787.3MOn
26 Jun 202646.75 THB3.9%44.39 THB39.86 THB-1.064.4822.8MOn
19 Jun 202645.00 THB1.1%43.97 THB39.80 THB-1.14-0.9213.2MOn
12 Jun 202644.50 THB-3.8%43.64 THB39.75 THB-1.05-2.9513.2MOn
5 Jun 202646.25 THB0.0%43.32 THB39.72 THB-0.871.6811.2MOn
29 May 202646.25 THB-2.6%42.91 THB39.68 THB-0.763.0254.1MOn
22 May 202647.50 THB3.3%42.54 THB39.62 THB-0.628.1844.6MOn
15 May 202646.00 THB-2.6%42.16 THB39.57 THB-0.556.7596.0MOn
8 May 202647.25 THB-1.6%41.74 THB39.52 THB-0.5911.5767.3MOn
1 May 202648.00 THB4.9%41.27 THB39.47 THB-0.5014.6291.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.