- The trend backdrop is active with a 22-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
BCP
SET
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Bangchak Corporation Public Company Limited · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Latest close
45.00 THB
5.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 95.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.9%, after a 35.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
75
out of 100
Latest Close
45.00 THB
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
5.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
35.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
25.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
42.3%
22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.1x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.19% based on similar historical setup states.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
5.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 35.3%.
Indicator stack
68/79
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 39.19%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 95.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.9%, after a 35.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4512-week average 0.62
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.45Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 35.3% over four weeks, 25.9% over 12 weeks, and 37.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 22 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak22 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.77Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change188.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership17.93Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change332.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
0 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.1%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-7.6%Week of 3 Apr.
Latest week+5.9%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks4
Modest losses7
Sharp losses1
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTH Energy
4-week rank3 / 22
Group average9.3%
Trend breadth63.6%
Trend63.6%active weekly trend signals
MD59.1%positive activity pressure
RS36.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTH Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
4-week rank3 / 10
Group average16.5%
Trend breadth70.0%
Trend70.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS40.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape71/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 71/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis44/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 2/12.
Activity pressure 0.45; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.19%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.19% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
Bangchak Finalizes BSRC Delisting and Prepares Newly Issued Shares of BCP for Trading on 12 December 2025 Advancing “One Team” with Shared Services to Strengthen Refinery and Marketing Operations Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 45.00 THB | 5.9% | 34.73 THB | 34.51 THB | 0.77 | 17.93 | 89.4M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 42.50 THB | 14.1% | 34.08 THB | 34.45 THB | 0.28 | 11.73 | 63.2M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 37.25 THB | 5.7% | 33.51 THB | 34.39 THB | -0.26 | -1.07 | 37.3M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 35.25 THB | 6.0% | 33.14 THB | 34.37 THB | -0.65 | -6.01 | 47.2M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 33.25 THB | 0.0% | 32.86 THB | 34.36 THB | -0.87 | -7.71 | 31.4M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 33.25 THB | 0.8% | 32.56 THB | 34.36 THB | -0.98 | -9.86 | 8.2M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 33.00 THB | -2.9% | 32.36 THB | 34.35 THB | -0.94 | -12.15 | 4.7M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 34.00 THB | 2.3% | 32.17 THB | 34.34 THB | -0.82 | -9.78 | 5.3M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 33.25 THB | -3.6% | 31.98 THB | 34.32 THB | -0.68 | -11.59 | 17.6M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 34.50 THB | 0.0% | 31.82 THB | 34.30 THB | -0.48 | -7.20 | 15.3M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 34.50 THB | -2.1% | 31.65 THB | 34.26 THB | -0.29 | -6.54 | 20.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 35.25 THB | -1.4% | 31.42 THB | 34.22 THB | -0.08 | -3.97 | 18.4M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 35.75 THB | 1.4% | 31.22 THB | 34.17 THB | 0.17 | -2.74 | 18.4M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 35.25 THB | -1.4% | 31.02 THB | 34.11 THB | 0.42 | -2.02 | 18.4M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.