FRD NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Friedman Industries Inc. Common Stock · Basic Materials · Steel

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Latest close 33.25 USD
-6.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 40.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.6%, after a -1.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 33.25 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -6.6% latest completed week
4W Return -1.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 53.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 9-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -6.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -1.0%. Indicator stack 67/70 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 55/100 56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 5d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 40.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.6%, after a -1.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9412-week average 0.67

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.94Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.0% over four weeks, 53.6% over 12 weeks, and 123.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 9 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-6.6%
4W-1.0%
12W53.6%
26W69.7%
52W123.9%
Active trend streak9 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.26Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-31.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership38.94Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-7.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength83/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Value79/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Quality13/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Momentum96/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Growth98/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework61/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
10.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
2.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
9.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
45.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
220.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
2552.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity3 / 0

3 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

16 positive · 38 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+42.1%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-8.0%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-6.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol12.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.4% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape59/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 59/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis77/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 0.94; 2 reversal markers Factors66/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Cornerstone Growth rank 3; Buyback Yield rank 43; Small Cap Core rank 36 SVQF61/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 286.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

Price to earnings forward of Friedman Industries Inc. – NASDAQ:FRD Insiders3 / 0

3 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings5d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202633.25 USD-6.6%23.61 USD17.70 USD1.2638.94352.6KOn
24 Jul 202635.60 USD4.4%23.17 USD17.60 USD1.4951.37352.6KOn
17 Jul 202634.09 USD-0.4%22.67 USD17.48 USD1.6444.64639.7KOn
10 Jul 202634.22 USD1.9%22.25 USD17.35 USD1.7240.89324.0KOn
3 Jul 202633.58 USD-2.4%21.78 USD17.22 USD1.8342.19511.0KOn
26 Jun 202634.39 USD-8.0%21.31 USD17.08 USD1.6948.35500.8KOn
19 Jun 202637.38 USD7.8%20.84 USD16.94 USD1.6155.76517.7KOn
12 Jun 202634.68 USD42.1%20.25 USD16.76 USD1.2650.07505.8KOn
5 Jun 202624.40 USD4.4%19.84 USD16.60 USD1.089.11110.2KOn
29 May 202623.38 USD13.1%19.73 USD16.50 USD1.030.02184.5KOff
22 May 202620.68 USD0.4%19.65 USD16.41 USD0.80-8.9487.5KOff
15 May 202620.60 USD-4.8%19.67 USD16.34 USD0.88-8.35222.5KOff
8 May 202621.65 USD5.3%19.63 USD16.28 USD0.67-4.12115.5KOff
1 May 202620.57 USD0.2%19.57 USD16.20 USD0.24-4.0096.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.