- The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
DBX
VIE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Dropbox, Inc. · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Latest close
28.00 EUR
8.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 24.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.6%, after a 10.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
66
out of 100
Latest Close
28.00 EUR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
8.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
10.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
17.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
36.5%
19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.5x
vs 13-week average
- No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
8.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 10.8%.
Indicator stack
37/89
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 24.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.6%, after a 10.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6212-week average 0.35
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.62Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 10.8% over four weeks, 17.2% over 12 weeks, and 21.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak5 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change99.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.69Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change88.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.2%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-10.4%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+8.6%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol5.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Technology
4-week rank15 / 100
Group average-3.9%
Trend breadth58.0%
Trend58.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS38.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Software - Infrastructure
4-week rank3 / 18
Group average-3.5%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD61.1%positive activity pressure
RS11.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape60/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 60/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis51/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.62; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
Dropbox, Inc. (DBX) Stock Forecasts Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 28.00 EUR | 8.6% | 22.55 EUR | 24.27 EUR | 1.74 | -1.69 | 2.3K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 25.77 EUR | -3.6% | 22.37 EUR | 24.25 EUR | 1.67 | -9.79 | 0 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 26.75 EUR | 4.5% | 22.31 EUR | 24.24 EUR | 1.46 | -5.54 | 1.4K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 25.59 EUR | 1.3% | 22.24 EUR | 24.23 EUR | 1.12 | -11.66 | 2.4K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 25.26 EUR | 10.4% | 22.18 EUR | 24.22 EUR | 0.87 | -14.30 | 733 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 22.89 EUR | 1.1% | 22.20 EUR | 24.22 EUR | 0.68 | -20.92 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 22.64 EUR | -3.1% | 22.29 EUR | 24.23 EUR | 0.79 | -23.87 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 23.36 EUR | -0.0% | 22.38 EUR | 24.24 EUR | 0.97 | -18.81 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 23.38 EUR | 3.1% | 22.47 EUR | 24.24 EUR | 0.99 | -17.10 | 4 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 22.68 EUR | -3.9% | 22.54 EUR | 24.23 EUR | 1.12 | -21.06 | 408 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 23.61 EUR | 4.5% | 22.62 EUR | 24.23 EUR | 0.99 | -16.25 | 357 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 22.59 EUR | -5.4% | 22.67 EUR | 24.21 EUR | 0.58 | -18.76 | 0 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 23.89 EUR | 15.2% | 22.74 EUR | 24.20 EUR | 0.28 | -15.14 | 1.2K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 20.75 EUR | 2.7% | 22.77 EUR | 24.18 EUR | -0.25 | -25.79 | 507 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.