- The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
NEXI
VIE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Nexi S.p.A. · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Latest close
4.25 EUR
6.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.9%, after a 12.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.
Setup score
57
out of 100
Latest Close
4.25 EUR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
6.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
12.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
9.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
21.2%
11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.6x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 12.9%.
Indicator stack
29/77
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
58/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.9%, after a 12.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5512-week average 0.37
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.55Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 12.9% over four weeks, 9.8% over 12 weeks, and -8.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak5 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.34Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change32.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.62Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change70.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
1 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.6%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-18.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+6.9%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains12
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -5.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Technology
4-week rank11 / 100
Group average-3.9%
Trend breadth58.0%
Trend58.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS38.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Software - Infrastructure
4-week rank2 / 18
Group average-3.5%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD61.1%positive activity pressure
RS11.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape51/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 51/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis50/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.55; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
Nexi S.p.A. Stock Forecast | Q1 2026 Earnings and Guidance Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4.25 EUR | 6.9% | 3.39 EUR | 4.69 EUR | 1.34 | -6.62 | 39.8K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.97 EUR | -2.9% | 3.38 EUR | 4.70 EUR | 1.35 | -13.54 | 0 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.09 EUR | 3.7% | 3.37 EUR | 4.72 EUR | 1.38 | -10.73 | 53.9K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.95 EUR | 4.9% | 3.36 EUR | 4.74 EUR | 1.21 | -16.43 | 27.8K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3.76 EUR | 5.9% | 3.35 EUR | 4.76 EUR | 1.01 | -22.20 | 7.7K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.55 EUR | 0.8% | 3.35 EUR | 4.78 EUR | 0.82 | -25.68 | 7.0K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.52 EUR | 3.2% | 3.35 EUR | 4.79 EUR | 0.76 | -28.58 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.42 EUR | 1.4% | 3.35 EUR | 4.81 EUR | 0.75 | -28.73 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.37 EUR | -3.9% | 3.36 EUR | 4.83 EUR | 0.76 | -28.57 | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.50 EUR | 3.3% | 3.37 EUR | 4.85 EUR | 0.95 | -27.44 | 1.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.39 EUR | -0.6% | 3.40 EUR | 4.87 EUR | 1.10 | -28.71 | 0 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 3.41 EUR | -11.8% | 3.43 EUR | 4.89 EUR | 1.18 | -27.65 | 0 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 3.87 EUR | 6.0% | 3.45 EUR | 4.91 EUR | 1.24 | -19.24 | 5.0K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 3.65 EUR | 4.1% | 3.47 EUR | 4.93 EUR | 1.06 | -23.45 | 31.4K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.