- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
FRPT
NASDAQ
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Freshpet Inc · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Latest close
57.54 USD
1.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 0.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 60/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.
Setup score
29
out of 100
Latest Close
57.54 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-11.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
26.9%
14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.2%.
Indicator stack
15/52
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Volatility
60/100 conviction; expected move 15.6%.
News sentiment
52/100
49 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
2d
Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 0.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0912-week average 0.24
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.2% over four weeks, -11.7% over 12 weeks, and -18.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.24Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change72.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.72Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change31.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 93%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength67/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Value69/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Quality75/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Momentum16/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Growth73/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework40/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 14.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 11.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 10.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 38.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 14.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 28.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 8.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 12.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -0.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -0.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
FRPT shows volatility options pressure with a 60/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 12.71, expected move of 15.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction60/100
Expected move15.6%
Put/call volume12.71
Insider activity7 / 13
7 acquisitions and 13 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 49 relevant articles.
13 positive · 28 neutral · 8 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move15.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-33.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.3%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-18.5%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+1.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.6% / -5.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Defensive
4-week rank39 / 100
Group average-0.3%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD58.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Packaged Foods
4-week rank25 / 58
Group average-4.1%
Trend breadth34.5%
Trend34.5%active weekly trend signals
MD53.4%positive activity pressure
RS22.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape28/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis10/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.09; No reversal markers Factors57/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 72; Small Cap Core rank 71 SVQF40/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 439.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options52/100FRPT shows volatility options pressure with a 60/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 12.71, expected move of 15.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 15.6% Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 49 relevant articles.
Freshpet (FRPT) Stock May Be 36% Below Fair Value As Cash Flow Hope Builds Insiders7 / 137 acquisitions and 13 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 57.54 USD | 1.6% | 62.52 USD | 89.86 USD | -0.24 | -12.72 | 4.6M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 56.64 USD | 5.6% | 62.74 USD | 89.94 USD | -0.21 | -16.15 | 5.5M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 53.62 USD | -4.9% | 62.94 USD | 90.00 USD | -0.40 | -24.60 | 6.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 56.38 USD | -1.8% | 63.27 USD | 90.08 USD | -0.57 | -20.06 | 8.6M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 57.43 USD | 4.4% | 63.46 USD | 90.14 USD | -0.87 | -18.67 | 8.2M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 55.01 USD | 4.5% | 63.45 USD | 90.19 USD | -1.09 | -26.23 | 5.4M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 52.66 USD | 5.9% | 63.41 USD | 90.23 USD | -1.01 | -28.41 | 6.4M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 49.74 USD | -3.6% | 63.44 USD | 90.31 USD | -0.95 | -31.70 | 8.2M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 51.60 USD | 0.0% | 63.62 USD | 90.41 USD | -0.82 | -33.35 | 7.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 51.58 USD | 4.5% | 63.54 USD | 90.47 USD | -0.74 | -32.50 | 9.7M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 49.35 USD | -7.0% | 63.63 USD | 90.55 USD | -0.69 | -35.73 | 9.6M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 53.08 USD | -18.5% | 63.69 USD | 90.65 USD | -0.57 | -32.29 | 12.8M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 65.15 USD | -1.5% | 63.54 USD | 90.75 USD | -0.50 | -13.69 | 4.4M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 66.15 USD | -4.8% | 63.15 USD | 90.78 USD | -0.50 | -11.92 | 5.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.