CTOS NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Custom Truck One Source Inc · Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

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Latest close 10.86 USD
5.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 31.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.0%, after a -9.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 64 out of 100
Latest Close 10.86 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 5.0% latest completed week
4W Return -9.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 54-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 5.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -9.0%. Indicator stack 100/51 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 58.90% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bearish 43/100 conviction; expected move 14.1%. News sentiment 54/100 37 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 31.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.0%, after a -9.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9712-week average 0.89

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -9.0% over four weeks, 7.5% over 12 weeks, and 82.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 54 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.0%
4W-9.0%
12W7.5%
26W71.3%
52W82.2%
Active trend streak54 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.38Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-73.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership38.46Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-36.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength48/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Value35/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Quality30/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Momentum93/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Growth69/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework9/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
13.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
13.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
19.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
7.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
34.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
9.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
13.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
6.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

CTOS shows bearish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 6.00, expected move of 14.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction43/100
Expected move14.1%
Put/call volume6.00
Pressure-61
Speculation4
Volatility81
Trend agreement31
Open options detail
Insider activity6 / 14

6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.

11 positive · 23 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move14.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.6%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-15.9%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week+5.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains12
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses5
Recent vol7.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.1% / -5.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape71/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 71/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis87/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.97; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.90%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.90% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors49/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 63; Small Cap Core rank 66 SVQF9/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 921.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options37/100

CTOS shows bearish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 6.00, expected move of 14.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 14.1% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (NYSE:CTOS) Receives Average Recommendation of "Hold" from Brokerages Insiders6 / 14

6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202610.86 USD5.0%8.29 USD5.77 USD0.3838.463.7MOn
17 Jul 202610.34 USD-2.0%8.12 USD5.73 USD0.7932.314.1MOn
10 Jul 202610.55 USD5.1%7.98 USD5.69 USD1.1134.125.5MOn
3 Jul 202610.04 USD-15.9%7.83 USD5.65 USD1.3130.744.3MOn
26 Jun 202611.94 USD5.9%7.70 USD5.61 USD1.4160.397.3MOn
19 Jun 202611.27 USD5.7%7.51 USD5.56 USD1.1650.084.2MOn
12 Jun 202610.66 USD10.1%7.32 USD5.51 USD0.9845.235.1MOn
5 Jun 20269.68 USD1.0%7.16 USD5.46 USD0.9434.333.5MOn
29 May 20269.58 USD3.8%7.03 USD5.43 USD1.1030.973.6MOn
22 May 20269.23 USD-6.2%6.90 USD5.39 USD1.3329.383.6MOn
15 May 20269.84 USD1.4%6.81 USD5.36 USD1.5440.505.4MOn
8 May 20269.70 USD-4.0%6.70 USD5.32 USD1.3540.306.5MOn
1 May 202610.10 USD15.6%6.58 USD5.28 USD1.0851.2010.6MOn
24 Apr 20268.74 USD14.8%6.46 USD5.23 USD0.5733.935.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.