HAG GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Hensoldt AG · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Latest close 79.76 EUR
-0.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 30.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.1%, after a 5.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 44 out of 100
Latest Close 79.76 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.1% latest completed week
4W Return 5.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.84% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 30.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.1%, after a 5.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2912-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.29Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.5% over four weeks, 9.3% over 12 weeks, and -12.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.1%
4W5.5%
12W9.3%
26W-4.1%
52W-12.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.18Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change166.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change49.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength4/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Value5/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Quality61/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Momentum18/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Growth35/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
92.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
22.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
21.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
9.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
9.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
9.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-17.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
117.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

9 positive · 21 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-31.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+24.2%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-11.6%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-0.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses11
Recent vol8.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.3% / -6.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202679.76 EUR-0.1%78.32 EUR55.51 EUR0.18-7.442.0MOff
24 Jul 202679.80 EUR4.6%78.19 EUR55.19 EUR0.02-5.861.1MOff
17 Jul 202676.32 EUR2.7%77.96 EUR54.87 EUR-0.24-9.401.3MOff
10 Jul 202674.32 EUR-1.7%77.85 EUR54.59 EUR-0.34-13.171.9MOff
3 Jul 202675.58 EUR16.5%77.79 EUR54.31 EUR-0.27-14.721.9MOff
26 Jun 202664.90 EUR-10.4%77.54 EUR54.02 EUR-0.26-23.97404.2KOff
19 Jun 202672.46 EUR-4.2%77.64 EUR53.79 EUR0.26-16.77516.4KOff
12 Jun 202675.62 EUR-4.0%77.63 EUR53.51 EUR0.71-12.45429.4KOn
5 Jun 202678.78 EUR-10.9%77.90 EUR53.21 EUR0.64-9.70230.7KOn
29 May 202688.42 EUR-0.1%78.31 EUR52.88 EUR0.47-0.522.3MOn
22 May 202688.49 EUR20.2%78.41 EUR52.50 EUR0.020.273.0MOff
15 May 202673.64 EUR0.9%78.71 EUR52.12 EUR-0.62-13.182.4MOff
8 May 202672.97 EUR-4.8%79.26 EUR51.85 EUR-0.68-15.332.4MOff
1 May 202676.64 EUR5.6%80.31 EUR51.58 EUR-0.66-10.941.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.