GDX GER Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

General Dynamics Corporation · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Latest close 338.3 EUR
4.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a 11.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 70/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 69 out of 100
Latest Close 338.3 EUR 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.0% latest completed week
4W Return 11.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 84.6% 44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 7-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a 11.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6712-week average 0.46

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.67Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.1% over four weeks, 16.4% over 12 weeks, and 28.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 7 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.0%
4W11.1%
12W16.4%
26W9.7%
52W28.7%
Active trend streak7 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.11Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1527.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.53Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change204.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength61/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Value32/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Quality77/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Momentum71/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Growth80/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework52/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
21.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
15.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
10.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
11.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
12.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
10.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
11.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
23.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment70/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 25 relevant articles.

14 positive · 10 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.0%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-6.5%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+4.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026338.3 EUR4.0%301.6 EUR257.5 EUR1.1111.53113On
17 Jul 2026325.2 EUR-0.3%299.9 EUR256.6 EUR0.848.8385On
10 Jul 2026326.3 EUR0.4%298.6 EUR255.7 EUR0.558.63214On
3 Jul 2026324.9 EUR6.7%297.3 EUR254.7 EUR0.305.60206On
26 Jun 2026304.5 EUR1.0%295.9 EUR253.8 EUR-0.083.790On
19 Jun 2026301.6 EUR-3.0%295.5 EUR253.0 EUR-0.251.888On
12 Jun 2026311.0 EUR4.3%295.2 EUR252.3 EUR-0.396.8669On
5 Jun 2026298.2 EUR-0.1%294.6 EUR251.5 EUR-0.672.3731Off
29 May 2026298.5 EUR1.8%294.4 EUR250.8 EUR-0.781.4377Off
22 May 2026293.3 EUR0.9%294.2 EUR250.0 EUR-0.870.85288Off
15 May 2026290.7 EUR-1.0%294.5 EUR249.3 EUR-1.044.17131Off
8 May 2026293.5 EUR1.0%294.2 EUR248.6 EUR-1.133.80211Off
1 May 2026290.7 EUR9.0%294.0 EUR247.8 EUR-1.223.36723Off
24 Apr 2026266.7 EUR-6.5%293.9 EUR247.1 EUR-1.19-4.23241Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context