KMX NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

CarMax Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Open interactive chart View report data Download investor PDF
Latest close 58.29 USD
1.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 28.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 10.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 32/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 61d.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 58.29 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.7% latest completed week
4W Return 10.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 51.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 17.3% 9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.7% Latest completed week; four-week move 10.5%. Indicator stack 37/69 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 32/100 conviction; expected move 8.8%. News sentiment 52/100 52 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 61d Next report is scheduled for 29 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 28.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 10.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6512-week average 0.26

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.65Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.5% over four weeks, 51.3% over 12 weeks, and -4.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.7%
4W10.5%
12W51.3%
26W25.9%
52W-4.0%
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.11Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-14.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership17.05Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change345.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 28 Feb 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength11/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Value36/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Quality17/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Momentum23/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Growth1/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework10/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
37.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
23.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
10.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
2.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
7.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-1.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-60.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
30.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
5.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
16.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

KMX shows mixed options pressure with a 32/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.14, expected move of 8.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction32/100
Expected move8.8%
Put/call volume1.14
Pressure-1
Speculation8
Volatility66
Trend agreement88
Open options detail
Insider activity18 / 2

18 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

15 positive · 29 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings61dNext report is scheduled for 29 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.3%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-12.5%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week+1.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.3% / -6.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape56/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis59/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 5/12.

Activity pressure 0.65; No reversal markers Factors20/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 11; Small Cap Core rank 29 SVQF10/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 908.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options56/100

KMX shows mixed options pressure with a 32/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.14, expected move of 8.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 8.8% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

JPMorgan Delivers Major CarMax Stock Reset Insiders18 / 2

18 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings61d

Next report is scheduled for 29 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow3 items

0 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202658.29 USD1.7%45.33 USD64.94 USD1.1117.0516.2MOn
17 Jul 202657.33 USD7.2%44.70 USD65.10 USD1.0913.8814.3MOn
10 Jul 202653.49 USD4.9%44.07 USD65.26 USD1.203.9112.3MOn
3 Jul 202650.98 USD-3.4%43.65 USD65.46 USD1.28-0.5512.2MOn
26 Jun 202652.76 USD-1.7%43.25 USD65.65 USD1.293.8319.4MOn
19 Jun 202653.66 USD4.7%42.78 USD65.85 USD1.082.0429.5MOn
12 Jun 202651.26 USD8.7%42.17 USD66.06 USD0.63-2.8116.9MOn
5 Jun 202647.15 USD5.7%41.61 USD66.24 USD0.10-11.0715.7MOn
29 May 202644.62 USD10.6%41.11 USD66.44 USD-0.25-18.9713.8MOff
22 May 202640.33 USD9.2%41.02 USD66.64 USD-0.53-26.6913.5MOff
15 May 202636.93 USD-8.5%41.15 USD66.84 USD-0.63-33.2414.4MOff
8 May 202640.34 USD4.7%41.35 USD67.06 USD-0.37-28.1112.5MOff
1 May 202638.53 USD0.7%41.45 USD67.26 USD-0.10-30.8412.1MOff
24 Apr 202638.27 USD-6.4%41.71 USD67.47 USD0.04-31.7715.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.