LAD NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Lithia Motors Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

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Latest close 385.4 USD
13.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.0%, after a 25.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 62/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 65 out of 100
Latest Close 385.4 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 13.0% latest completed week
4W Return 25.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 31.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 13.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 25.9%. Indicator stack 19/77 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 62/100 conviction; expected move 15.2%. News sentiment 58/100 54 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.0%, after a 25.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.4x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4912-week average 0.22

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.49Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 25.9% over four weeks, 31.1% over 12 weeks, and 35.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W13.0%
4W25.9%
12W31.1%
26W19.6%
52W35.1%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change59.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.57Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change281.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength48/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Value77/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Quality9/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Momentum31/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Growth17/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework60/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
10.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
15.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
0.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
2.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-16.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-61.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
14.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
14.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
7.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

LAD shows volatility options pressure with a 62/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 8.88, expected move of 15.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction62/100
Expected move15.2%
Put/call volume8.88
Pressure-92
Speculation26
Volatility72
Trend agreement40
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 5

9 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

23 positive · 26 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move15.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.0%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-12.5%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+13.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape57/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 57/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis39/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 3/12.

Activity pressure 0.49; 2 reversal markers Factors40/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 4; Small Cap Core rank 8 SVQF60/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 406.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options50/100

LAD shows volatility options pressure with a 62/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 8.88, expected move of 15.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 15.2% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

Lithia Motors Inc (LAD) Shares Fall 4.8% -- What GF Score of 89 Tells Investors Insiders9 / 5

9 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026385.4 USD13.0%296.5 USD301.3 USD1.2515.573.7MOn
24 Jul 2026340.9 USD1.7%294.7 USD300.7 USD1.003.591.2MOff
17 Jul 2026335.3 USD6.9%294.7 USD300.5 USD0.921.131.6MOff
10 Jul 2026313.7 USD2.5%295.0 USD300.2 USD0.76-6.99930.2KOff
3 Jul 2026306.2 USD4.8%295.9 USD300.2 USD0.79-8.561.2MOff
26 Jun 2026292.1 USD-0.9%296.6 USD300.2 USD0.71-11.481.7MOff
19 Jun 2026294.9 USD-5.9%297.5 USD300.2 USD0.57-13.311.6MOff
12 Jun 2026313.4 USD8.5%297.7 USD300.1 USD0.49-7.651.4MOff
5 Jun 2026288.8 USD-0.7%297.0 USD299.8 USD0.23-14.841.1MOff
29 May 2026290.9 USD5.2%297.1 USD299.5 USD0.14-16.891.1MOff
22 May 2026276.6 USD5.6%297.8 USD299.2 USD0.13-20.341.8MOff
15 May 2026261.9 USD-10.9%299.6 USD299.0 USD-0.13-24.431.8MOff
8 May 2026294.0 USD1.3%301.2 USD298.7 USD-0.18-15.661.2MOff
1 May 2026290.3 USD5.8%301.3 USD298.1 USD-0.33-15.252.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.