ABG NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Asbury Automotive Group Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

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Latest close 231.7 USD
2.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 10.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.9%, after a 12.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 51/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 50 out of 100
Latest Close 231.7 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.9% latest completed week
4W Return 12.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 15.4% 8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.04% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 12.8%. Indicator stack 8/80 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 44.04% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 51/100 conviction; expected move 7.9%. News sentiment 52/100 58 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 10.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.9%, after a 12.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3712-week average 0.17

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.37Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 12.8% over four weeks, 15.6% over 12 weeks, and 3.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.9%
4W12.8%
12W15.6%
26W-1.2%
52W3.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year8
Trend breadth15.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.20Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change106.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.66Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change72.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength71/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Value94/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Quality28/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Momentum22/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Growth76/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework81/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
7.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
17.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
5.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
4.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
31.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
16.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
6.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

ABG shows bullish options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.12, expected move of 7.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction51/100
Expected move7.9%
Put/call volume0.12
Pressure89
Speculation30
Volatility66
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity2 / 1

2 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

12 positive · 38 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move7.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.7%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-10.6%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+2.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape42/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 42/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis27/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.37; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.04%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.04% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors53/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Cornerstone Growth rank 76; Buyback Yield rank 10; Small Cap Core rank 4 SVQF81/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 194.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options47/100

ABG shows bullish options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.12, expected move of 7.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 7.9% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC Quarterly Earnings Report Insiders2 / 1

2 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026231.7 USD2.9%210.4 USD228.5 USD1.20-4.662.0MOff
24 Jul 2026225.2 USD2.2%210.5 USD228.4 USD0.95-6.591.2MOff
17 Jul 2026220.4 USD4.0%211.0 USD228.4 USD0.88-9.541.1MOff
10 Jul 2026212.0 USD3.2%211.6 USD228.4 USD0.73-14.701.1MOff
3 Jul 2026205.4 USD0.1%212.6 USD228.6 USD0.58-16.921.0MOff
26 Jun 2026205.2 USD4.1%213.7 USD228.9 USD0.40-15.911.5MOff
19 Jun 2026197.1 USD-1.2%214.7 USD229.1 USD0.02-21.701.2MOff
12 Jun 2026199.5 USD4.5%215.5 USD229.3 USD-0.26-20.611.0MOff
5 Jun 2026191.0 USD1.7%216.3 USD229.5 USD-0.49-24.121.1MOff
29 May 2026187.7 USD-0.0%217.5 USD229.7 USD-0.56-27.821.0MOff
22 May 2026187.7 USD4.8%219.0 USD229.9 USD-0.45-27.351.2MOff
15 May 2026179.2 USD-10.6%220.7 USD230.0 USD-0.37-30.601.7MOff
8 May 2026200.4 USD-1.3%222.9 USD230.2 USD-0.42-22.891.5MOff
1 May 2026203.0 USD-0.0%224.1 USD230.2 USD-0.58-20.612.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.