WINA NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Winmark Corporation · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

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Latest close 332.5 USD
-14.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -14.3%, after a -20.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 76d.

Setup score 30 out of 100
Latest Close 332.5 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -14.3% latest completed week
4W Return -20.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -10.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 44.2% 23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.65% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -14.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -20.5%. Indicator stack 24/58 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 59.65% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 53/100 54 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 76d Next report is scheduled for 14 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -14.3%, after a -20.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1712-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -20.5% over four weeks, -10.6% over 12 weeks, and -10.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-14.3%
4W-20.5%
12W-10.6%
26W-26.2%
52W-10.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change102.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-27.41Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-116.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 91%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength11/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Value12/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Quality67/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Momentum25/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Growth18/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
29.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
13.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
22.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
96.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
63.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
50.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-1.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-3.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity17 / 3

17 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

11 positive · 37 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings76dNext report is scheduled for 14 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-35.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.1%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-14.3%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week-14.3%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -5.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape34/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis15/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.65%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.65% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors28/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 75; Small Cap Core rank 87 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

Does Winmark’s (WINA) Capital Return Focus Mask Pressure On Its Earnings Power? Insiders17 / 3

17 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings76d

Next report is scheduled for 14 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026332.5 USD-14.3%410.1 USD377.4 USD0.01-27.41245.6KOff
17 Jul 2026388.1 USD0.7%412.6 USD377.4 USD0.17-17.04294.4KOff
10 Jul 2026385.4 USD-9.2%413.1 USD377.1 USD-0.02-21.24175.9KOff
3 Jul 2026424.3 USD1.5%415.0 USD376.7 USD-0.08-12.02208.2KOff
26 Jun 2026418.2 USD4.5%415.0 USD375.8 USD-0.43-12.68244.9KOff
19 Jun 2026400.3 USD-0.1%414.7 USD375.1 USD-0.79-20.33190.7KOff
12 Jun 2026400.6 USD6.1%415.2 USD374.5 USD-0.96-18.79206.5KOff
5 Jun 2026377.6 USD-0.3%415.9 USD374.1 USD-1.13-22.20217.2KOff
29 May 2026378.6 USD3.8%416.9 USD373.8 USD-1.16-26.04194.5KOff
22 May 2026364.9 USD3.9%417.3 USD373.4 USD-1.18-27.23199.7KOff
15 May 2026351.2 USD-5.7%418.4 USD373.0 USD-1.17-29.66210.9KOff
8 May 2026372.3 USD0.0%420.8 USD372.7 USD-1.11-26.26210.0KOff
1 May 2026372.2 USD-6.5%421.9 USD372.2 USD-0.81-22.76271.2KOff
24 Apr 2026397.9 USD2.5%426.0 USD371.7 USD-0.64-16.51307.2KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.