IOT NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Samsara Inc · Technology · Software - Infrastructure

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Latest close 33.11 USD
-13.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 40.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -13.6%, after a 6.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 53/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 35d.

Setup score 36 out of 100
Latest Close 33.11 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -13.6% latest completed week
4W Return 6.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 7.7% 4 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.34% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -13.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 6.3%. Indicator stack 15/72 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.34% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 53/100 conviction; expected move 12.5%. News sentiment 51/100 65 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 35d Next report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 40.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -13.6%, after a 6.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4412-week average 0.29

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.44Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.3% over four weeks, 8.6% over 12 weeks, and -15.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-13.6%
4W6.3%
12W8.6%
26W3.1%
52W-15.1%
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year4
Trend breadth7.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.12Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change27.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.17Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change34.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Jan 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength9/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Value1/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Quality78/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Momentum18/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Growth82/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
335.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
11.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
197.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
76.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
17.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
29.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
61.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

IOT shows volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.25, expected move of 12.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction53/100
Expected move12.5%
Put/call volume0.25
Pressure65
Speculation41
Volatility84
Trend agreement33
Open options detail
Insider activity6 / 14

6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 65 relevant articles.

15 positive · 39 neutral · 11 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings35dNext report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move12.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-19.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week-13.6%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.1% / -5.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape31/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis45/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.44; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.34%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.34% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors26/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 73; Small Cap Core rank 100 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options45/100

IOT shows volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.25, expected move of 12.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 12.5% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 65 relevant articles.

Sanjit Biswas Sells 202,617 Shares of Samsara (NYSE:IOT) Stock Insiders6 / 14

6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings35d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow3 items

1 recent research articles and 2 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202633.11 USD-13.6%31.70 USD36.86 USD1.12-11.1729.4MOn
17 Jul 202638.32 USD4.4%31.81 USD36.83 USD1.081.5425.5MOn
10 Jul 202636.72 USD2.2%31.81 USD36.76 USD0.89-4.6226.2MOn
3 Jul 202635.93 USD15.4%31.96 USD36.69 USD0.81-5.8322.7MOff
26 Jun 202631.14 USD-1.7%32.27 USD36.63 USD0.88-17.0832.1MOff
19 Jun 202631.69 USD-5.9%32.50 USD36.61 USD1.02-18.3125.7MOff
12 Jun 202633.66 USD-3.3%32.67 USD36.57 USD1.00-13.2035.2MOff
5 Jun 202634.80 USD-0.5%32.81 USD36.54 USD0.85-10.4457.7MOff
29 May 202634.99 USD12.3%32.94 USD36.51 USD0.52-13.1222.2MOff
22 May 202631.15 USD5.4%33.12 USD36.44 USD0.32-22.4725.3MOff
15 May 202629.56 USD-0.6%33.39 USD36.36 USD0.21-26.7724.6MOff
8 May 202629.74 USD-2.5%33.62 USD36.30 USD0.21-27.2222.8MOff
1 May 202630.49 USD1.8%33.86 USD36.23 USD0.04-24.6023.6MOff
24 Apr 202629.96 USD-2.2%34.14 USD36.15 USD0.01-26.0125.5MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.