ADP NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Automatic Data Processing Inc · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 250.1 USD
-2.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 11.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 52.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a 11.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 0d.

Setup score 45 out of 100
Latest Close 250.1 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.0% latest completed week
4W Return 11.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 17.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 7.7% 4 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 11.9%. Indicator stack 4/71 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 48/100 conviction; expected move 7.1%. News sentiment 57/100 39 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 0d Next report is scheduled for 29 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 11.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 52.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a 11.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4312-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.43Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.9% over four weeks, 17.6% over 12 weeks, and -16.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.0%
4W11.9%
12W17.6%
26W-1.5%
52W-16.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year4
Trend breadth7.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.09Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change15.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.01Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change68.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength19/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Value13/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Quality98/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Momentum16/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Growth34/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
23.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
47.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
27.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
26.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
62.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
6.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
8.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
13.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

ADP shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.29, expected move of 7.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction48/100
Expected move7.1%
Put/call volume1.29
Pressure-17
Speculation44
Volatility77
Trend agreement91
Open options detail
Insider activity4 / 2

4 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.

16 positive · 21 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings0dNext report is scheduled for 29 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move7.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.0%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-8.3%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week-2.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape37/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 37/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis34/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.43; No reversal markers Factors37/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 25 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options60/100

ADP shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.29, expected move of 7.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 7.1% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.

Why Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Stock Is Up Today Insiders4 / 2

4 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings0d

Next report is scheduled for 29 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026250.1 USD-2.0%223.7 USD252.9 USD1.09-7.0111.4MOff
17 Jul 2026255.3 USD5.5%223.9 USD252.8 USD1.10-7.3612.0MOff
10 Jul 2026241.9 USD-0.1%223.9 USD252.6 USD0.97-16.508.9MOff
3 Jul 2026242.3 USD8.4%224.5 USD252.4 USD0.92-15.6711.1MOff
26 Jun 2026223.6 USD2.4%225.0 USD252.2 USD0.94-22.2719.2MOff
19 Jun 2026218.4 USD-3.4%225.8 USD252.0 USD0.80-28.2414.2MOff
12 Jun 2026226.2 USD-1.7%226.8 USD251.9 USD0.83-24.6510.8MOff
5 Jun 2026230.2 USD4.6%227.5 USD251.8 USD0.81-22.4615.5MOff
29 May 2026220.2 USD-1.5%228.1 USD251.6 USD0.62-30.059.6MOff
22 May 2026223.6 USD5.0%229.3 USD251.5 USD0.48-27.9114.2MOff
15 May 2026212.9 USD0.7%231.0 USD251.3 USD-0.01-31.4615.3MOff
8 May 2026211.4 USD-0.6%233.1 USD251.2 USD-0.45-33.0213.6MOff
1 May 2026212.6 USD9.0%235.3 USD251.1 USD-0.83-29.8917.6MOff
24 Apr 2026195.1 USD-2.0%237.7 USD251.0 USD-1.14-35.4814.8MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.