- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.96% based on similar historical setup states.
BTDR
NASDAQ
Week ended 14 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Bitdeer Technologies Group Class A Ordinary Shares · Technology · Software - Application
Latest close
9.13 USD
-16.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -24.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -16.1%, after a -15.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 47/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 46/100.
Setup score
31
out of 100
Latest Close
9.13 USD
14 Aug 2026
1W Return
-16.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-15.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-37.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-16.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -15.0%.
Indicator stack
22/26
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.96%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
47/100 conviction; expected move 10.4%.
News sentiment
46/100
57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
10 Aug
Latest stored earnings date was 10 Aug 2026.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -24.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -16.1%, after a -15.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4612-week average 0.53
12-week confirmation
Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.46Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -15.0% over four weeks, -37.7% over 12 weeks, and -31.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-214.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-40.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-40.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 16 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 82%
Model confidence 82%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength5/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Value27/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Quality1/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 3.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -29.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 0.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -40.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -142.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -9.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 127.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -11.5% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -11.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -34.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
BTDR shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.22, expected move of 10.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction47/100
Expected move10.4%
Put/call volume0.22
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment46/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.
12 positive · 35 neutral · 10 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings10 AugLatest stored earnings date was 10 Aug 2026.
Options expected move10.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-67.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
20 Feb
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
14 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.9%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-22.8%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week-16.1%Week of 14 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses9
Recent vol11.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol15.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew13.2% / -8.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Technology
4-week rank- / 100
Group average12.7%
Trend breadth62.0%
Trend62.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS55.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Software - Application
4-week rank95 / 100
Group average12.8%
Trend breadth51.0%
Trend51.0%active weekly trend signals
MD83.0%positive activity pressure
RS23.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis53/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.46; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.96%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.96% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors11/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 87; Small Cap Core rank 77 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options34/100BTDR shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.22, expected move of 10.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 10.4% Sentiment46/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.
Bitdeer Hits Zero Bitcoin Holdings - Sold Every Coin It Mined While Raising $300M In Debt Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings10 AugLatest stored earnings date was 10 Aug 2026.
Research flow1 items0 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 9.13 USD | -16.1% | 12.11 USD | 11.26 USD | -0.40 | -40.86 | 92.2M | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 10.88 USD | 3.4% | 12.33 USD | 11.28 USD | -0.50 | -29.44 | 66.7M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 10.52 USD | -9.0% | 12.35 USD | 11.30 USD | -0.36 | -28.74 | 69.5M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 11.56 USD | 7.6% | 12.38 USD | 11.29 USD | -0.18 | -21.73 | 31.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 10.74 USD | -19.2% | 12.36 USD | 11.28 USD | 0.35 | -29.02 | 34.6M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 13.29 USD | -4.0% | 12.37 USD | 11.28 USD | 0.78 | -16.49 | 50.5M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 13.85 USD | -19.2% | 12.28 USD | 11.29 USD | 1.12 | -11.83 | 46.1M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 17.15 USD | -4.4% | 12.21 USD | 11.28 USD | 1.46 | 9.60 | 53.7M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 17.93 USD | 0.6% | 12.09 USD | 11.24 USD | 1.57 | 9.81 | 32.2M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 17.83 USD | 2.1% | 11.83 USD | 11.20 USD | 1.60 | 12.38 | 56.2M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 17.47 USD | -0.1% | 11.59 USD | 11.16 USD | 1.47 | 12.71 | 71.1M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 17.49 USD | 19.4% | 11.74 USD | 11.08 USD | 1.27 | 7.60 | 63.3M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 14.65 USD | 9.7% | 11.90 USD | 11.00 USD | 0.91 | -7.36 | 42.4M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 13.35 USD | -0.9% | 12.18 USD | 10.94 USD | 0.67 | -15.15 | 43.4M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.