Ticker Options Intelligence

ADP options intelligence

Automatic Data Processing Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 39 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 29 Jul 2026 22:12 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

ADP currently carries mixed options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 9.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.16.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 9.5%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.16

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.69

Call-side skew

Trend fit 59

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -2.0%

RS -7.0

Expected move 9.5%
Put-call volume 0.69
Volume / OI 0.16
Reference IV 0.60
Max pain 260.00
Underlying 250.09
Nearest expiry 31 Jul 2026
Contracts 642

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

82/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $12.8M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+15
1W price-2.0%
Call premium85%
Put premium15%
Notional split C 85% / P 15% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.16 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 59/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 29 Jul Matched earnings event is 0 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 421 contracts traded, $4.3M estimated gross traded notional, and 33% of visible notional.
$4.3M
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 270 contracts traded, $1.6M estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$1.6M
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 743 contracts traded, $1.4M estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$1.4M
Calls · 0-7 days · OTM calls cluster with 1994 contracts traded, $1.3M estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$1.3M
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 253 contracts traded, $1.1M estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$1.1M

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Above normal

67

Activity is running above the recent historical baseline.

Volume rank100th
Volume/OI rank100th
IV rank0th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close250.09
1W-2.0%
RS-7.0
Fair value-1.1%
Options pressure15
Speculation44
Volatility80
Trend fit59

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 9.5% elevated
30d avg 7.1% · 1 read 100th
90d avg 7.1% · 1 read 100th
180d avg 7.1% · 1 read 100th
IV 0.60 muted
30d avg 0.70 · 1 read 0th
90d avg 0.70 · 1 read 0th
180d avg 0.70 · 1 read 0th
Put-call 0.69 muted
30d avg 1.29 · 1 read 0th
90d avg 1.29 · 1 read 0th
180d avg 1.29 · 1 read 0th
Volume/OI 0.16 elevated
30d avg 0.16 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.16 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.16 · 1 read 100th

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:03 Volatility
Pressure -17
Move 7.1%
29 Jul 21:12 Mixed
Pressure 15
Move 9.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike125.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike180.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 3
Puts · V 1 · OI 4
Strike190.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 2 · OI 88
Strike195.00
Calls · V 9 · OI 9
Puts · V 2 · OI 4
Strike200.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 107
Strike205.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 73
Strike210.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 204
Strike215.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 1
Puts · V 10 · OI 41

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Contracts52
Avg IV0.60
Put-call0.28
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts35
Avg IV0.54
Put-call0.13
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts23
Avg IV0.52
Put-call0.13
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts68
Avg IV0.46
Put-call0.79
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts26
Avg IV0.43
Put-call4.31

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
31 Jul 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.64
Put IV1.15
Skew0.51
7 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.47
Put IV0.60
Skew0.13
14 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.43
Put IV0.57
Skew0.15
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.42
Put IV0.51
Skew0.09
28 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.41
Put IV0.48
Skew0.07

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractADP260821C00252500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike252.50
Volume-
OI80
IV0.45
ContractADP260918C00390000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike390.00
Volume-
OI22
IV0.64
ContractADP270219P00180000
SidePut
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike180.00
Volume-
OI15
IV0.44
ContractADP270617P00200000
SidePut
Expiry17 Jun 2027
Strike200.00
Volume-
OI10
IV0.37
ContractADP270617P00195000
SidePut
Expiry17 Jun 2027
Strike195.00
Volume-
OI10
IV0.38
ContractADP270115C00130000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike130.00
Volume-
OI6
IV0.00
ContractADP260807C00190000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike190.00
Volume-
OI6
IV0.95
ContractADP260807P00210000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike210.00
Volume-
OI4
IV1.03