CYD NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

China Yuchai International Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

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Latest close 47.16 USD
4.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.6%, after a 10.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 30/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 61/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 47.16 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.6% latest completed week
4W Return 10.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 86.5% 45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.72% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 10.8%. Indicator stack 48/22 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 60.72% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 30/100 conviction; expected move 17.6%. News sentiment 61/100 42 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.6%, after a 10.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5412-week average 0.57

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.54Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.8% over four weeks, 2.0% over 12 weeks, and 111.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.6%
4W10.8%
12W2.0%
26W3.9%
52W111.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.51Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-239.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.34Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change254.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength99/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Value100/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Quality71/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Momentum93/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Growth91/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
3.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
0.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
199.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
16.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
2.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
80.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
73.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-3.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

CYD shows mixed options pressure with a 30/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.07, expected move of 17.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction30/100
Expected move17.6%
Put/call volume1.07
Pressure1
Speculation16
Volatility96
Trend agreement64
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment61/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

23 positive · 18 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move17.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.6%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-17.9%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses7
Recent vol8.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.1% / -5.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape45/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis55/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 0.54; 5 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.72%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.72% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors90/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 63; Small Cap Core rank 2 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options48/100

CYD shows mixed options pressure with a 30/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.07, expected move of 17.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 17.6% Sentiment61/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

China Yuchai International (CYD) Gets An Upgrade But Is The Valuation Case Priced In Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow3 items

0 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202647.16 USD4.6%46.12 USD21.59 USD-0.514.34518.9KOff
24 Jul 202645.07 USD2.7%45.78 USD21.35 USD-0.401.68556.7KOff
17 Jul 202643.90 USD-3.1%45.47 USD21.13 USD-0.16-0.78558.4KOff
10 Jul 202645.29 USD6.5%45.22 USD20.91 USD0.131.39968.6KOff
3 Jul 202642.55 USD-3.2%44.88 USD20.68 USD0.37-2.821.0MOn
26 Jun 202643.95 USD-8.0%44.62 USD20.47 USD0.633.151.4MOn
19 Jun 202647.75 USD-2.7%44.35 USD20.25 USD0.7210.24972.4KOn
12 Jun 202649.06 USD-13.6%43.91 USD20.00 USD0.7515.401.1MOn
5 Jun 202656.76 USD0.1%43.49 USD19.75 USD0.5235.72909.1KOn
29 May 202656.72 USD-1.1%42.93 USD19.44 USD0.1834.391.2MOn
22 May 202657.35 USD14.7%42.28 USD19.13 USD-0.2340.091.4MOn
15 May 202650.00 USD8.1%41.60 USD18.81 USD-0.6025.30950.6KOn
8 May 202646.24 USD15.6%41.10 USD18.54 USD-0.7717.76877.4KOn
1 May 202640.00 USD-5.3%40.74 USD18.29 USD-0.885.51374.0KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.