CAG NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Conagra Brands, Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

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Latest close 14.51 USD
-0.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a 2.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 32/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 60d.

Setup score 34 out of 100
Latest Close 14.51 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.6% latest completed week
4W Return 2.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 3.8% 2 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.58% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 2.4%. Indicator stack 2/99 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 43.58% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 32/100 conviction; expected move 4.7%. News sentiment 49/100 54 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 60d Next report is scheduled for 30 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a 2.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1412-week average 0.06

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.4% over four weeks, 2.7% over 12 weeks, and -16.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.6%
4W2.4%
12W2.7%
26W-19.7%
52W-16.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year2
Trend breadth3.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change496.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.80Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change18.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 May 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 88%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength47/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Value82/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Quality10/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth22/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework32/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
12.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
23.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-14.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
16.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-9.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-2.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-12.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
9.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-4.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

CAG shows mixed options pressure with a 32/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.09, expected move of 4.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction32/100
Expected move4.7%
Put/call volume1.09
Pressure2
Speculation41
Volatility42
Trend agreement69
Open options detail
Insider activity13 / 7

13 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

10 positive · 32 neutral · 12 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings60dNext report is scheduled for 30 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move4.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.6%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-13.7%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-0.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape30/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis18/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.14; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.58%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.58% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors38/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 39; Small Cap Core rank 11 SVQF32/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 689.0 of 1006 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options50/100

CAG shows mixed options pressure with a 32/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.09, expected move of 4.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 4.7% Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

Can Conagra Brands (CAG) Justify Its Price After Its Executive Reshuffle? Insiders13 / 7

13 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings60d

Next report is scheduled for 30 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

0 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202614.51 USD-0.6%15.29 USD21.55 USD0.50-17.8078.1MOff
24 Jul 202614.60 USD3.4%15.36 USD21.63 USD0.51-16.9873.5MOff
17 Jul 202614.12 USD3.3%15.43 USD21.71 USD0.45-20.7498.7MOff
10 Jul 202613.67 USD-3.6%15.51 USD21.80 USD0.11-24.9863.2MOff
3 Jul 202614.17 USD1.8%15.62 USD21.89 USD-0.12-21.83218.1MOff
26 Jun 202613.92 USD5.4%15.69 USD21.98 USD-0.60-22.3488.5MOff
19 Jun 202613.20 USD-3.9%15.80 USD22.07 USD-1.01-28.7574.2MOff
12 Jun 202613.74 USD5.6%15.92 USD22.17 USD-1.06-26.0777.0MOff
5 Jun 202613.01 USD-2.0%16.02 USD22.27 USD-1.09-30.4074.8MOff
29 May 202613.28 USD-2.1%16.14 USD22.37 USD-1.05-31.6360.2MOff
22 May 202613.56 USD1.0%16.24 USD22.47 USD-0.96-30.1574.4MOff
15 May 202613.43 USD-5.0%16.36 USD22.57 USD-0.97-31.1271.5MOff
8 May 202614.13 USD0.5%16.50 USD22.67 USD-0.80-28.3164.2MOff
1 May 202614.06 USD1.6%16.61 USD22.78 USD-0.80-27.9771.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.