MA NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mastercard Inc · Financial Services · Credit Services

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Latest close 539.7 USD
-0.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 56.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.7%, after a 8.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 38/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 0d.

Setup score 51 out of 100
Latest Close 539.7 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.7% latest completed week
4W Return 8.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 25.0% 13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.64% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.7% Latest completed week; four-week move 8.3%. Indicator stack 14/86 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.64% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 38/100 conviction; expected move 5.2%. News sentiment 54/100 31 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 0d Next report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 56.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.7%, after a 8.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1712-week average 0.07

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 8.3% over four weeks, 8.9% over 12 weeks, and -4.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.7%
4W8.3%
12W8.9%
26W3.0%
52W-4.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.12Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change193.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.24Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change50.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength17/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Value7/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Quality97/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Momentum23/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
30.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
14.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
23.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
83.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
58.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
55.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
90.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
16.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
18.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
13.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
9/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

MA shows mixed options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.22, expected move of 5.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction38/100
Expected move5.2%
Put/call volume1.22
Pressure-9
Speculation43
Volatility57
Trend agreement73
Open options detail
Insider activity3 / 17

3 acquisitions and 17 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

10 positive · 20 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings0dNext report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.1%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-5.5%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week-0.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape46/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 46/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis22/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.64%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.64% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors36/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 19 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options53/100

MA shows mixed options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.22, expected move of 5.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 5.2% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

Mastercard (MA) Weighs Vocalink Sale, Is The Stock Fully Priced? Insiders3 / 17

3 acquisitions and 17 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings0d

Next report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026539.7 USD-0.7%515.0 USD496.1 USD1.12-7.2412.4MOff
17 Jul 2026543.6 USD3.2%516.3 USD495.1 USD1.14-7.4915.5MOff
10 Jul 2026526.7 USD-2.2%517.2 USD494.1 USD0.89-12.0814.3MOff
3 Jul 2026538.5 USD8.1%518.6 USD493.3 USD0.62-9.3017.8MOff
26 Jun 2026498.2 USD1.9%518.8 USD492.3 USD0.38-14.6724.4MOff
19 Jun 2026489.0 USD-0.0%520.5 USD491.6 USD0.07-18.6617.5MOff
12 Jun 2026489.2 USD-0.2%522.1 USD490.8 USD-0.00-18.3517.4MOff
5 Jun 2026490.3 USD-0.8%524.0 USD490.1 USD-0.14-18.2623.2MOff
29 May 2026494.0 USD-0.9%526.0 USD489.2 USD-0.30-20.3214.4MOff
22 May 2026498.5 USD0.9%527.8 USD488.4 USD-0.28-19.0715.5MOff
15 May 2026494.2 USD-0.3%530.3 USD487.6 USD-0.45-19.6516.6MOff
8 May 2026495.5 USD0.0%532.4 USD486.8 USD-0.46-19.8722.1MOff
1 May 2026495.5 USD-1.7%534.4 USD486.1 USD-0.69-18.6222.8MOff
24 Apr 2026504.2 USD-3.3%537.2 USD485.3 USD-0.96-16.9913.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.